Dissertations / Theses on the topic '140210 International Economics and International Finance'
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Jones, Geraint Paul. "Essays in international finance." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2005. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/32406.
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Thesis (Ph. D.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Economics, 2005."June 2005."
Includes bibliographical references.
This thesis is a collection of three essays on exchange rate policies and international capital flows in emerging markets. The first chapter examines the theoretical foundations of the "fear of floating" that has been observed to characterize many emerging market exchange rate regimes. Building on a model that derives "fear of floating" from a desire to prevent non-fundamental shocks in foreign exchange markets affecting the real economy, the chapter shows that floating exchange rates can still be optimal in such an environment. It further argues that floating exchange rates should become more prevalent as emerging markets integrate more fully into the world economy. The second chapter investigates the empirical evidence on "fear of floating" with a view to determining whether the phenomenon is the optimal response of emerging markets to a volatile external environment, as supposed in the first chapter, or whether more emerging markets would optimally employ floating exchange rates. The chapter finds evidence that "fear of floating" has a dual aspect; that it might indeed be optimal during less severe external volatility, but during severe external shocks, fear of floating can lead to underinsurance against sudden stops in capital inflows. Such "fear of floating" is associated with a lack of credibility in monetary policymaking and the chapter argues that the evidence suggests that a credible commitment to floating exchange rates during severe external shocks would help insure emerging markets against sudden stops. The third chapter evaluates the link between foreign investment and corruption in emerging markets.
(cont.) A model is developed of the link between FDI and corruption and the model is evaluated with data from the World Bank's Business Environment and Enterprise Performance Survey. It is found that corruption reduces aggregate FDI flows, but also distorts the composition of FDI towards firms more willing to engage in certain forms of corruption. FDI does not necessarily import better standards of governance. The chapter concludes with policy recommendation -for addressing the corruption in emerging markets.
by Geraint Paul Jones.
Ph.D.
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Mora, Nada 1976. "Essays in international finance." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2003. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/17623.
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Thesis (Ph. D.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Economics, 2003.Includes bibliographical references.
This thesis is a collection of three empirical essays in international finance. The first chapter studies the transmission of monetary policy through the lending channel in a partially dollarized banking system. Taking advantage of the cross-sectional and time-series variation in the individual Mexican bank balance sheets, I find that the deposits and loans of banks with a larger share of foreign deposits are less sensitive to domestic monetary shocks, particularly for small banks. This result is reinforced when foreign monetary shocks and country risk shocks are controlled for. The results also suggest that banks with a larger foreign deposit share are more sensitive to foreign (U.S.) monetary shocks. Finally, these banks are more sensitive to country risk. That is, they are more prone to lose deposits when Brady bond spreads increase, although the size of their loan portfolio is not reduced. The second chapter examines whether bank credit fuels asset prices, using evidence from the Japanese real estate boom during the 1980's. The decline in banks' loans to keiretsu firms is used as the shock to bank real estate credit. The evidence supports using keiretsu loans as an instrument. Financial deregulation allowed large firms to replace bank finance with financing from public markets. The main part determines that those prefectures that experienced a larger loss in their banks' proportion of keiretsu loans experienced a positive increase in real estate lending which fuelled land inflation. An increase of 0.01 in a prefecture's instrumented share of real estate loans for 3 years implies a 28 % higher land inflation rate. The third chapter evaluates the behavior of sovereign credit ratings. This chapter questions the view that credit rating agencies aggravated the Asian crisis by excessively downgrading those countries. I find that ratings are, if anything, sticky rather than excessively procyclical. Assigned ratings exceeded predicted ratings prior to the crisis, mostly matched predicted ratings during the crisis period, and did not increase as much as predictions in the recent period following the crisis. Ratings are also found to react to nonmacroeconomic factors, lagged spreads and default history.
by Nada Mora.
Ph.D.
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Conesa-Labastida, Andres. "Essays on international finance." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1997. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/10334.
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Ta, Thanh Hai. "Two essays in international finance." Thesis, McGill University, 2012. http://digitool.Library.McGill.CA:80/R/?func=dbin-jump-full&object_id=106348.
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This thesis consists of two essays on the effects of barriers to international investment on risk premium and investors' portfolio holdings. In the first essay, we develop an international asset pricing model in a two-country framework where there are no restrictions in the domestic market (for example the U.S.). On the other hand, trading in the foreign market (for example an Emerging Market) encounters barriers to portfolio flows and short-sale constraints. The model suggests that freely traded assets (for example those traded in the U.S.) are priced with only a global risk premium, whereas assets that trade under capital flow and short sale restrictions (for example those traded in Emerging Markets) command a global risk premium, a conditional risk premium and a conditional discount. Further, the price of risk of the discount factor is a linear, increasing function of legal limits on holdings of securities that trade in the foreign market. This is the first, arbitrage-free international asset pricing model that studies both short-sale constraints and foreign ownership restrictions. The model uncovers a new pricing factor that provides a measure of economic benefit of relaxing equity ownership restrictions. We estimate a conditional version of the model for 18 major emerging markets over the period 1989-2007. We find evidence that global and both local risk factors are priced as well as time varying. The relationship between legal limits on holdings of foreign securities and the price of risk of the discount factor is statistically significant, suggesting economic gains from further liberalization of constraints on capital flows. The second essay evaluates the impact of investability on risk premium in emerging markets. Built upon the theoretical results of the first essay, we decompose the risk premium of non-investable and partially investable portfolios in emerging markets into three components: a global premium, a conditional local premium and a conditional local discount where the discount reflects the benefit of investability on risk premium. Using MGARCH-in-mean technique, we quantify the impact of investability on risk premium for 18 major emerging markets and find that investability contributes to a significant reduction in risk premium of both non-investable and partially investable portfolios. We also document that increase in investability is associated with higher benefit and a larger exposure to the global factor.Cette thèse se compose de deux essais sur les effets des obstacles à l'investissement international sur la prime de risque et les avoirs en portefeuille des investisseurs. Dans le premier essai, nous développons un modèle d'évaluation des actifs internationaux à deux pays où il n'existe aucune restriction sur le marché intérieur (par exemple les États-Unis). D'un autre côté, la négociation des actifs sur le marché étranger (par exemple un Marché Émergent) rencontre des obstacles aux investissements de portefeuille et des restrictions sur les ventes à découvert. Le modèle suggère que les actifs négociés librement (par exemple ceux négociés aux États-Unis) sont évalués uniquement par une prime de risque globale tandis que les actifs qui sont négociés avec l'existence des restrictions aux flux de capitaux et aux ventes à découvert (par exemple ceux négociés sur les Marchés Émergents) sont évalués par une prime de risque mondial, une prime de risque conditionnelle et un escompte conditionnel. De plus, le prix du risque du facteur d'escompte est une fonction linéaire croissante de restrictions légales sur les investissements étrangers en titres qui se négocient sur le marché étranger. Ceci est le premier modèle d'évaluation des actifs internationaux sans arbitrage qui étudie des restrictions sur les ventes à découvert et sur la propriété étrangère ensemble. Le modèle découvre un nouveau facteur d'évaluation qui fournit une mesure des avantages économiques du relâchement des restrictions sur la propriété étrangère des actions. Nous estimons une version conditionnelle du modèle pour 18 principaux marchés émergents sur la période 1989-2007. Nous trouvons la preuve que le facteur de risque mondial et deux facteurs de risque locaux sont évalués et variables dans le temps. La relation entre les restrictions légales sur la propriété étrangère des actions et le prix du risque du facteur d'escompte est statistiquement significative, suggérant que l'assouplissement des restrictions aux flux de capitaux produise des avantages économiques. Le deuxième essai évalue l'impact de l'investability sur la prime de risque dans les marchés émergents. En utilisant les résultats théoriques du premier essai, nous décomposons la prime de risque des portefeuilles non-investable et partiellement-investable dans les marchés émergents en trois composantes: une prime mondiale, une prime locale conditionnelle et un escompte local conditionnel où l'escompte reflète l'avantage de l'investability sur la prime de risque. En utilisant la technique de MGARCH-en-moyen, nous quantifions l'impact de l'investability sur la prime de risque pour 18 principaux marchés émergents et trouvons que l'investability représente une part économiquement significative de la prime de risque des portefeuilles non-investable et partiellement-investable. Nous trouvons également que l'augmentation de l'investability est associée à l'augmentation des avantages économiques et la plus grande exposition au facteur mondial.
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Rappoport, Veronica E. (Veronica Eva). "Essays on international finance and economics." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2005. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/33829.
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Thesis (Ph. D.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Economics, 2005.Includes bibliographical references (p. 119-123).
The first essay explains why credit contracts in developing countries are often denominated in foreign currencies, even after many of these economies succeeded in controlling inflation. I propose a new interpretation based on the demand for insurance against real aggregate shocks. The fact that devaluations occur more frequently in adverse states of the world provides a motive for holding dollar assets when the risk of recession is the main source of volatility in consumption. The model predicts persistence in the degree of "dollarization" in economies with low inflationary risk. The second essay looks at how the government's lack of commitment technology affects the capacity of resident agents to optimally diversify risk. I find that government's moral hazard introduces a trade-off between pooling idiosyncratic risk and diversifying aggregate country uncertainty. As a result, local agents face excessive consumption risk. This paper also explores how institutions can be designed as to overcome this moral hazard problem. The third essay proposes an explanation for the variation across countries in the quality of the institutions governing the financial. The explanation based on the proportion of local investors participating in the domestic financial sector.
(cont.) I find that the participation of local investors in the financial market and, correspondingly, the resulting institutions vary according to wealth distribution and the size of capital inflows.
by Veronica E. Rappoport.
Ph.D.
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D'Aguanno, Lucio. "Essays in international monetary economics." Thesis, University of Warwick, 2016. http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/80022/.
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This dissertation presents two essays in international monetary economics; the unifying theme is the international dimension of monetary policy. I investigate two issues related to the openness of the economy: (i) the implications of external positions for the conduct of macroeconomic stabilisation policy; (ii) the consequences of monetary unification for social welfare under incomplete international markets. The former subject occupies chapter one; the latter occupies chapter two. In the first chapter, "Monetary policy and wealth effects with external positions", I develop a two-country DSGE model to study how financial integration affects the international transmission of shocks and the conduct of monetary policy. If the households of each country receive dividends from foreign firms, macroeconomic disturbances are followed by international wealth effects that transfer consumption across countries. The direction of these effects varies across different types of shocks, as these imply different comovements of macroeconomic variables. As a consequence, the choice of the monetary policy mix is shown to rest on the relative importance of different sources of uncertainty. In the second chapter, "Monetary policy and welfare in a currency union", I explore the welfare cost of abandoning an independent monetary policy to join a currency union, and I investigate what trade gains can outweigh this loss. The consequences of subjecting distinct economies to a single monetary authority are investigated in the context of an open-economy DSGE model with country-specific macroeconomic shocks and incomplete international markets. The dependence of the cost of adopting a single currency on the international synchronisation of business cycles is examined first. Next, the welfare implications of international price misalignments and monetary barriers to trade with separate currencies are considered. Finally, the model is estimated with data from Italy, France, Germany and Spain using standard Bayesian tools. Moderate trade frictions are found to be sufficient for a monetary union to guarantee the same welfare as a regime with national currencies. Under a calibration of these frictions in line with the literature, monetary unification is found to offer positive net welfare gains to all these economies.
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Chang, Pang-hua Kevin. "Commodity price shocks and international finance." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1989. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/31012.
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Du, Wenxin. "Essays in International Finance." Thesis, Harvard University, 2013. http://dissertations.umi.com/gsas.harvard:10902.
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This dissertation consists of three essays in international finance. The first two essays study emerging market sovereign risk with a focus on local currency denominated sovereign bonds. The third essay examines econometric tools for robust inference in the presence of missing observations, an issue frequently encountered by researchers in international finance.Economics
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Shinozaki, Toshiaki. "Three essays on international economics." Thesis, Boston University, 2012. https://hdl.handle.net/2144/32063.
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Thesis (Ph.D.)--Boston UniversityMy dissertation consists of three papers on international finance, international economics, and labor economics. The first paper develops a stochastic general equilibrium model to understand the effects of default risk on output, consumption, investment, and current account deficits in emerging markets. The second paper studies how market structure affects exchange-rate pass-through. This analysis is empirical as well as theoretical, using a partial equilibrium model. The third paper develops a model to study relative wages across different educational levels in developed countries. The model in my first paper features endogenous default risk. Its calibration results explain a number of important stylized facts about emerging economies, including the negative correlation between investment and net exports, the procyclicality of investment, and the potential for current account reversals. The second paper compares exchange-rate pass-through under perfect competition and oligopoly, showing that the two different market structures have opposite effects on this currency pricing behavior. The paper's empirical test, whether implemented on the basis of a partial equilibrium framework or on the model's general equilibrium framework, finds support for perfect competition. The third paper uses differences within and across industries m education wage premiums to study factors affecting those premiums. The paper begins by showing that within-industry as opposed to cross-industry educational wage premiums explain most of developed country differences in wages by education. It then develops a theoretical model and an empirical testing strategy, using U.S. and Japanese data, to examine whether the use of IT capital and the decision to outsource affect the education-wage premium. The answer is mixed depending on the country in question.
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Col, Burcin. "Three essays on international corporate finance." Thesis, McGill University, 2012. http://digitool.Library.McGill.CA:80/R/?func=dbin-jump-full&object_id=110527.
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This thesis consists of three essays on issues that affect valuation and capital allocation decisions of multinational companies (MNCs). The first essay explores the valuation consequences of tax avoidance using an international sample of cross-border mergers that involve tax haven targets and/or acquirers. Cross-border mergers with haven-based firms offer a refined setting to study the valuation implications of tax avoidance. Firms can achieve tax savings through these transactions in two ways: 1) selling to an acquirer based in a tax haven, hence making the newly created multinational a haven resident or 2) setting up a subsidiary in these locations by targeting a tax haven firm. Using the data on cross-border M&As for the period from 1989 to 2010, we find that the announcement returns to targets and acquirers of tax haven firms are lower relative to a control sample of non-tax motivated M&As. The evidence is consistent with the agency cost explanations, as changing a firm's tax home through a 100% acquisition is accompanied by a change in legal system and corporate governance. The adverse effects are less pronounced for firms that have stronger corporate governance practices at the firm - level. Our results therefore provide value evidence on the agency costs of tax-motivated M&As. In the second essay, we investigate two related issues. First, what is the valuation impact of state expropriation for cross-border mergers that involve targets from predatory states. Second, what is the effect of improved shareholder protection and transparency when the target is subject to significant expropriation risk. Using a sample of 902 cross-border acquisitions from 36 target countries during the period from 1989 to 2009, we find that targets, which operate under some degree of state expropriation risk, receive a significantly lower premium. The target shareholders are also not fully rewarded for the improvement in firm governance since the benefits of improvement are mitigated under predation. We thus provide evidence for twin-agency theory of Stulz (2005) through cross-border mergers. In the third essay we investigate how foreign risks affect the capital allocation decisions of the U.S. firms. We argue that international trade is a significant conduit of foreign political uncertainty into U.S. markets. We construct a measure of foreign political risk sensitivity; an index of political risks of trade partners or occurrence of national elections weighted by the relative export volumes of particular industries. We find that industries that export considerable shares of their output to countries with high political risk or countries that hold national elections in a given year experience suboptimal investment efficiency and lower performance.Cette thèse se comporte de trois essais portant sur les décisions relatives à l'allocation des capitaux dans les firmes multinationales ainsi que sur les problématiques se rapportant à leur évaluation. Le premier essai explore les conséquences de l'évasion fiscale en termes d'évaluations, et ceci en se basant sur un échantillon de données portant sur des opérations de fusions et acquisitions internationales impliquant des entreprises se trouvant dans des paradis fiscaux. En utilisant des données sur les fusions et acquisitions portant sur la période de 1989 à 2010, nous trouvons que les rendements autour de la date d'annonce pour les entreprises acquises ou acquéreuses se trouvant dans des paradis fiscaux sont relativement moins élevés en comparaison à ceux des entreprises fusionnant pour motifs autres que fiscaux. Ce résultat est en accord avec la notion des coûts d'agence, puisque le changement fiscal sera accompagné d'un changement du système judiciaire et des pratiques de gouvernance. Les résultats obtenus constituent une preuve de l'impact en termes d'évaluation des coûts d'agence dans les fusions et les acquisitions motivées par des avantages fiscaux. Dans le second essai nous étudions deux problématiques connexes. Tout d'abord, quel est l'impact d'expropriation par l'état, en termes d'évaluation, sur les fusions impliquant des entreprises se trouvant dans des pays prédateurs. Deuxièmement, quel est l'effet d'une amélioration de la protection des actionnaires et de la transparence lorsque l'entreprise acquise présente un risque élevé d'expropriation. En utilisant un échantillon de 902 acquisitions portant sur 36 pays durant la période de 1989 à 2009, nous trouvons que les entreprises acquises qui présentent un certain risque d'expropriation reçoivent une prime moins élevée. Les actionnaires de l'entreprise acquise ne sont pas non plus entièrement compensés pour l'amélioration de la gouvernance puisque les bénéfices de cette amélioration sont mitigés en présence de risque de prédation. Dans le troisième essai, nous étudions l'impact du risque international sur les décisions relatives à l'allocation des capitaux dans les entreprises américaines. Nous affirmons que le commerce international est conduit important d'incertitude des pays étrangers politique pour les marchés américains. Nous trouvons que les industries qui exportent une part importante de leurs produits dans des pays présentant un risque politique élevé ou des pays qui tiennent des élections nationales durant une année donnée, ont un investissement sous-optimal et une performance moins élevée.
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Schreger, Jesse. "Essays in International Finance and Macroeconomics." Thesis, Harvard University, 2015. http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:17463984.
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The way in which governments borrow has changed dramatically over the last decade. The first two chapters of this dissertation study the implications of the rise of local currency sovereign borrowing in emerging markets. Chapter 1 presents a method to measure the credit risk on local currency sovereign debt. Chapter 2 argues that private sector balance sheet mismatch explains why nominal sovereign debt risk is not free from default risk. Chapter 3 studies the costs of sovereign default by exploiting the timing of legal rulings in the case of Republic of Argentina v. NML Capital to identify the causal effect of increases in sovereign default risk on firm performance.Political Economy and Government
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Zabel, Michael. "Essays in monetary economics and international finance." Diss., Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, 2014. http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:19-169977.
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Hoddenbagh, Jonathan. "Essays in International Macroeconomics and Finance." Thesis, Boston College, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/2345/bc-ir:103620.
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Thesis advisor: Fabio GhironiMy dissertation develops a set of tools for introducing heterogeneity into economic models in an analytically tractable way. Many models use the representative agent framework, which greatly simplifies macroeconomic aggregation but abstracts from the heterogeneity we see in the real world. In my research, I move away from the representative agent framework in two key ways. First, my work in international macroeconomics incorporates heterogeneity via idiosyncratic shocks across countries. Second, my work on financial frictions employs asymmetric information between lenders and borrowers. In both of these areas, my goal is to examine the implications of heterogeneity in the most tractable way possible. Crucially, these insights can be incorporated into the models currently used by academics and central banks for policy analysis. The first chapter of my dissertation, "Price Stability in Small Open Economies," joint work with Mikhail Dmitriev, studies the conduct of optimal monetary policy in a continuum of small open economies. We obtain a novel closed-form solution that does not restrict the elasticity of substitution between home and foreign goods to one. Using this global closed-form solution, we give an exact characterization of optimal monetary policy and welfare with and without international policy cooperation. We consider the cases of internationally complete asset markets and financial autarky, producer currency pricing and local currency pricing. Under producer currency pricing, it is always optimal to mimic the flexible-price equilibrium through a policy of price stability. Under local currency pricing, policy should fix the exchange rate. Even though countries have monopoly power, the continuum of small open economies implies that policymakers cannot affect world income. This inability to influence world income removes the incentive to deviate from price stability under producer currency pricing or a fixed exchange rate under local currency pricing, and prevents gains from international monetary cooperation in all cases examined. Our results contrast with those for large open economies, where interactions between home policy and world income drive optimal policy away from price stability or fixed exchange rates, and gains from cooperation are present. The second chapter of my dissertation, "The Optimal Design of a Fiscal Union'', joint work with Mikhail Dmitriev, examines the role of fiscal policy cooperation and financial market integration in an open economy setting, motivated by the recent crisis in the euro area. I show that the optimal design of a fiscal union is governed by the degree of substitutability between the export goods of different countries. When countries produce goods that are imperfect substitutes they should harmonize their income taxes to prevent large terms of trade externalities. On the other hand, when countries produce goods that are close substitutes, they should organize a contingent fiscal transfer scheme to insure against idiosyncratic shocks. The welfare gains from the optimal fiscal union are as high as 5\% of permanent consumption when countries are able to trade safe government bonds, and approach 20\% of permanent consumption when countries lose access to international financial markets. These gains are especially large for countries like Greece that produce highly substitutable export goods and who cannot raise funds on international financial markets to insure against downside risk. The results illustrate why federal currency unions such as the U.S., Canada and Australia, with income tax harmonization and built-in fiscal transfer arrangements, withstand asymmetric shocks across regions much better than the euro area, which lacks these ingredients at the moment. The third chapter of my dissertation, joint work with Mikhail Dmitriev, studies macro-financial linkages and the impact of financial frictions on real economic activity in some of my other work. Beginning with the Bernanke-Gertler-Gilchrist (1999) financial accelerator model, a large literature has shown that financial frictions amplify business cycles. Using this framework, Christiano, Motto and Rostagno (AER, 2013) show that shocks to financial frictions can explain business cycle fluctuations quite well. However, this literature relies on two ad hoc assumptions. When these assumptions are relaxed and agents have access to a broader set of lending contracts, the financial accelerator disappears, and shocks to financial frictions have little to no impact on the economy. In addition, under the ad hoc lending contract inflation targeting eliminates the financial accelerator. These results provide guidance for monetary policymakers and present a puzzle for macroeconomic theory
Thesis (PhD) — Boston College, 2014
Submitted to: Boston College. Graduate School of Arts and Sciences
Discipline: Economics
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Martell, Rodolfo. "Three essays in international finance." Connect to this title online, 2005. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc%5Fnum=osu1111754376.
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Thesis (Ph. D.)--Ohio State University, 2005.Title from first page of PDF file. Document formatted into pages; contains xiv, 147 p.; also includes graphics (some col.) Includes bibliographical references (p. 91-98). Available online via OhioLINK's ETD Center
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Powers, Thomas Yang. "Essays on International Finance and Asset Pricing." Thesis, Harvard University, 2016. http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:33493252.
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My first essay investigates the relationship between risk and return for investment projects within the firm. I focus on the film industry and find that more volatile movies have higher rates of return, even though this risk is entirely idiosyncratic. My second essay explains the high rates of return on commodity currencies in terms of the procyclicality of commodity prices. Commodity prices are procyclical because commodities are inputs, and thus demand for them is driven by the global business cycle. I also use labor market data to show that increases in labor costs during commodity booms contribute to the higher real exchange rates observed in commodity exporting countries. My final essay, co-authored with Jeffrey Frankel, studies optimal monetary policy in commodity-exporting economies facing a terms-of-trade shock. We build on the previous literature by introducing borrowing constraints, and find that currency depreciation during such a shock leads to higher welfare than either a fixed exchange rate or inflation targeting.Business Economics
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Lazarou, Nicholas-Joseph. "Three essays in international economics." Thesis, University of Southampton, 2014. https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/365329/.
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Are transport markets and associated costs important for international trade? To the present day there is a sparse and fragmented literature pointing towards an affirmative answer. This Thesis reinforces such opinion by accounting for transport markets in general equilibrium models of trade, and providing empirical evidence on the impact of determinants that explain casual trade-and-transport related phenomena. The outcomes of the Thesis promote policy and/or investment activism in developing countries, due to the gains from trade lost to excessive transport costs. Two particular observations are investigated: i) When and why should a transport hub emerge? Using a simple trade model of monopolistic competition with representative firms incorporating network theory, the determinants governing optimal network formation become the level of transport costs, increasing returns in transportation and centrality. Empirical deduction supports that exports increase more on average if a shipping route passing through a hub is selected relative to a direct route, following a reduction in variable trade costs. Thus geographically disadvantaged countries that absorb high transport costs can ameliorate these by trading via a hub. ii) Are tariffs and shipping prices complementary? By not assuming this interaction, standard trade models of representative and heterogeneous firms are unable to identify by decomposing the direct and indirect -that is, via adjustments in transport technology- effects of trade liberalisation, resulting in observing large elasticities of import demand. Invoking a model of monopolistic competition with heterogeneous firms that trade using transport services operating under increasing returns, it is the presence of the latter that amplifies the response of trade volumes to tariffs declines. Yet transportation may also dampen such responses, for the shipping price is a function of the factory price of the good and a markup. The empirical experiments provide support to such propositions. The last chapter is distinct and deliberates on the importance of modeling financial networks that represent real world transaction systems relative to abstract artificial topologies. It is found that the international network of financial exposures exhibits characteristics that are congruent with robust-yet-fragile networks. Employing a common model of contagion illustrates how the robust-yet-fragile network structure absorbs defaults by peripheral countries however becomes susceptible to default cascades when combinations of peripheral countries or a financial centre collapse.
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Uddin, Syed A. "Three Essays on International Trade and Finance." FIU Digital Commons, 2017. http://digitalcommons.fiu.edu/etd/3480.
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This dissertation is composed of three essays at the intersection of international trade and finance. In the first chapter, I measure exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) for value-added exports, where intermediate input requires sharing among countries in a back-and-forth manner for producing a single final product. I derive an estimating equation for ERPT and value-added trade following a partial equilibrium model, which also leads to decomposition of the trade elasticity into the own price effect and the price index effects. From the empirical estimation, I find that ignoring the value-added trade will cause a systematic upward bias in the estimation of ERPT. I also find that there exists substantial heterogeneity in pass-through rates across sectors: sectors with high-integration into global markets functions with a lower rate of exchange in comparison to sectors with less integration.
The second essay focuses on a specific market, where I examine the relationship between product attributes and ERPT. This paper estimates the ERPT by using good-level daily data on wholesale prices of imported agricultural products, where the identification is achieved by using daily data on the domestic inflation rate. The results of standard empirical analyses are in line with existing studies that employ lower frequencies of data by showing evidence for incomplete daily ERPT of about 5 percent. The key innovation is achieved when nonlinearities in ERPT are considered, where ERPT is doubled to about 10 percent when daily nominal
exchange rate changes are above 0.55 percent, daily frequencies of price change are above 3.12 percent, the storage life of a product is above 10 weeks, and for the non-zero price changes, the ERPT is complete.
In the final essay, I focus on the firms’ export pricing strategy: pricing-to-market strategy. To achieve this, I introduce a partial equilibrium model of firm’s pricing strategy, where the market share of a firm plays an important role in the determination of markup. The empirical estimation is that markup ranges from 1.25 to 1.5 across years and 1.25 to 51.23 across firms. I also find that markups come back to their average level within 30 to 60 days of the initial date.
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Kolar, Marek. "Three empirical essays in financial economics and international finance." Diss., Connect to online resource - MSU authorized users, 2008.
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Agudelo, Diego A. "Three essays on information and liquidity in international markets." [Bloomington, Ind.] Indiana University, 2007. http://gateway.proquest.com/openurl?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:dissertation&res_dat=xri:pqdiss&rft_dat=xri:pqdiss:3274266.
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Thesis (Ph.D.)--Indiana University, Kelley School of Business, 2007.Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 68-07, Section: A, page: 3063. Adviser: Craig W. Holden. Title from dissertation home page (viewed April 8, 2008).
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Gregirchak, Yaroslav. "International securitization : Implications for law reform in Ukraine." Thesis, McGill University, 2001. http://digitool.Library.McGill.CA:80/R/?func=dbin-jump-full&object_id=32802.
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Prospects of securing affordable and efficient development finance for Central and Eastern European countries largely depends upon development of international securitizaton in the region, which is characterized by an undercapitalized banking sector and weak domestic investors' base.Securitization in the United States is examined as an example of how a developed jurisdiction can deploy this institution. The study of the cross-border structured finance experience gained by Latin American countries serves to show that this financing technique can be used in Ukraine. Ukraine is viewed as a target developing jurisdiction, and relevant proposals for Ukrainian law reform with emphasis on secured financing and bankruptcy regimes are elaborated.
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Stavrakeva, Vania Atanassova. "Three Essays in Macroeconomics and International Finance." Thesis, Harvard University, 2013. http://dissertations.umi.com/gsas.harvard:10881.
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This dissertation includes three chapters. The first chapter studies the question of whether countries with different fiscal capacity should optimally have different ex-ante minimum bank capital requirements. In an environment with endogenously incomplete markets and overinvestment because of moral hazard and pecuniary externalities, I show that countries with larger fiscal capacity should have lower minimum ex-ante bank capital requirements. I also show that, in addition to the minimum capital requirement, regulators in countries with a concentrated financial sector and large fiscal capacity (which are also countries with strong moral hazard) should impose a limit on the amount of liquidity pledged by financial institutions in a crisis state (for example, restrict the amount of put options/CDS contracts sold by financial institutions). The second chapter studies the welfare implications of a concentrated, imperfectly competitive banking sector, which faces a bank net worth constraint in a small open economy (SOE) environment. There are two standard sources of inefficiency --- pecuniary externalities, which lead to overinvestment, and a standard monopolistic underinvestment force. I show that the optimal policy instruments include subsidies on firm borrowing costs in certain periods and capital account controls in others, which is a good proxy for the behavior of emerging markets. For every country, there exists a financial sector with a particular banking sector concentration, for which the inefficiencies offset each other and no government intervention is required in some periods. Furthermore, this paper documents a novel theoretical result --- the interaction between future binding bank net worth constraints and dynamic (future) underinvestment could lead to ex-ante overinvestment even in economies with a single monopolistic bank where there are no pecuniary externalities. The last third chapter, which is coauthored with Kenneth Rogoff, evaluates a new class of exchange rate forecasting studies, which claim that structural models are getting closer to being able to forecast exchange rates at short horizons. We argue that misinterpretation of some new out-of-sample tests for nested models, over-reliance on asymptotic test statistics, and failure to sufficiently check robustness to alternative time windows have led many studies to overstate even the relatively thin positive results that have been found.Economics
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Gebregiorgis, Bekele Sinkie. "Essays in the international economics of credit and banking." Thesis, McGill University, 2008. http://digitool.Library.McGill.CA:80/R/?func=dbin-jump-full&object_id=115643.
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This dissertation is entitled "Essays in the International Economics of Credit and Banking". It comprises three essays. The first essay develops an empirical model of international credit with moral hazard and the risk of repudiation to examine (i) the determinants of the intertemporal and cross-national variations in credit ceilings and (ii) the channels through which output attracts foreign credit. It reports that productivity is the most important variable in attracting credit, followed by education, and then physical capital. Furthermore, international trade, country financial risk ratings, and geography explain more than 60% of the cross-national variations in credit ceiling. Therefore, international relations and investment in education and productivity-enhancing institutions are crucial in attracting foreign credit.The second essay develops open-economy variants of the old Friedman-Schwartz and the new Lucas-Sargent-Wallace monetarist models to investigate the puzzle of monetary neutrality. The essay further introduces financial aggregation theories into the models. It studies the theoretical and business-cycle relationships between real output and financial aggregates, interest rates, exchange rate, and prices using Canadian quarterly data for the period 1959: 1 to 2002: 1. It reports that the open-economy variants of the monetarist models with aggregation-theoretic financial aggregates perform the best in producing significant sign patterns that are predicted by theory. Furthermore, Monte Carlo experiments show that large percentage of real output variance is explained by shocks to aggregation-theoretic financial aggregates relative to other variables. Thus, there is no difference between the effects of anticipated and unanticipated monetary shocks.
The third essay examines the appropriate formulation of the monetary aggregate for the Nigerian economy for the period 1970:1-2000:4 for the determination of real output. This examination covers simple sum, variable elasticity of substitution (ves), and divisia (dv) aggregation over currency, demand deposits, and savings deposits. The user cost of liquid assets is employed in the construction of both the dv and the yes aggregates. Using maximum likelihood estimation technique, the essay reports that, for the Nigerian economy, currency does as well as or better than any narrow- or broad-money measure in explaining industrial production. Further, the simple sum m1 and m2 outperformed both the yes and dv aggregates. Therefore, monetary policy in Nigeria should focus on the supply of currency and/or of narrow money, rather than on broad money or the divisia aggregates.
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LAW, Yui. "U.S. cross-listing, institutional investors, and equity returns." Digital Commons @ Lingnan University, 2012. https://commons.ln.edu.hk/econ_etd/23.
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Cross-listing refers to firms listing their equities on more than one stock exchange. Cross-listing is an interesting topic of international finance. This is because along with the deeper integration of the global financial market, we should see lesser importance of geographic factors. Thus, the motivations and effects of listing a firm on exchanges of different regions should have essential economic implications. The reputation bonding hypothesis suggests that U.S. cross-listing improves the information environment of a firm because of the higher disclosure standard and more analyst coverage. The legal bonding hypothesis argues that U.S. cross-listing improves the investor protection and corporate governance of a firm since the firm is under more stringent law and regulation. The firm growth hypothesis points out that U.S. cross-listing lowers the external capital cost of a firm and thus enables the firm to achieve a higher growth rate.
Using a sample with 12532 firms of 23 developed regions from 2006 to 2011, this thesis tests the three hypotheses of cross-listing. Firstly, my empirical results show that a cross-listing on the U.S. exchanges improves the equity returns predictability of institutional investors. I find a stronger positive correlation between the changes in institution ownership level and future equity returns of U.S. cross-listed firms. This suggests that the information environment is improved after a U.S. cross-listing. However, the improvement in information environment exists only in non-crisis period. Secondly, the results support the firm growth hypothesis. The U.S. cross-listing event only has a positive effect on equity returns of firms with younger age and lower dividend yield. This effect becomes less obvious during the crisis period. Thirdly, the legal bonding effect of U.S. cross-listing only exists during the crisis period, when the financial market is volatile. During the crisis period, a U.S. cross-listing increases the equity returns of the firms form non-common-law regions, but not the firms from common-law regions.
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Alalade, Cornelius Babatunde. "The economic performance of international oil companies in Nigeria." Thesis, Bournemouth University, 2004. http://eprints.bournemouth.ac.uk/457/.
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Name of Author: Cornelius Babatunde Alalade Title of the Investigation: THE ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE OF INTERNATIONAL OIL COMPANIES IN NIGERIA: The Effect of Fiscal Taxation and the Separation of Ownership and Control. This research investigates the tax policies of the Nigerian government and the separation of ownership and control and the possibility that they impact on the economic performance of the international oil companies operating in Nigeria. The key areas of the research include a literature review which concentrates on both shareholder and stakeholder theories in corporate governance and on the separation of ownership and control. The literature review is also on government control mechanisms, including state ownership of corporations and taxation. Another key part of this research is the investigation of the relationship between types of contract between host government and the operating companies, and the companies' economic performance in relation to contract type. The second part of this research examines the relationship between the variables representing fiscal taxation and those representing economic performance. Given that there are essentially two types of contracts operating in Nigeria's oil and gas exploitation business, that is, Joint Venture (JV) and Production Sharing Contract (PSC), these two formed the basis of the research. For the purposes of measuring economic performance, the unit cost of production and gross margin per barrel were chosen as the variables for measuring the impact of the separation of ownership and control and the impact of fiscal taxation on the economic performanceof the operating companies. Data obtained from secondary sources served as the basis for the quantitative analysis employed in this research,and the results obtained were statistically tested before any interpretation and recommendations were suggested. Interviews were also conducted for the qualitative aspect of this study in order to obtain information on the factors that influenced Nigeria's oil and gas exploration and production fiscal policy formulation in the past. This research provided the opportunity to arrive at certain conclusions which, even if they sometimes appeared obvious, were never previously empirically substantiated, and the corroboration of some existing theories as being applicable to the Nigerian situation. They also provided a basis for suggesting the inappropriateness of some existing concepts or theories in their application to Nigeria's oil and gas exploration and producing companies. For example, the results suggest that the existence of separation of ownership and control does not guarantee optimization of economic performance (or maximization of wealth) for the production sharing contract type in oil companies operating in Nigeria, even if they do elsewhere. Fiscal taxation was also suggested as critical to economic performance but possibly not the only variable impacting on the economics of petroleum exploitation in Nigeria. This research provided other possible areas for further research in both fields of corporate governance and fiscal taxation.
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Omran, Mohammed Moustafa A. "The impact of Egypt's economic reform programme on the stock market performance." Thesis, University of Plymouth, 1999. http://hdl.handle.net/10026.1/384.
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The objective of this thesis is to highlight the Egyptian experiment concerning its economic reform programme, and to determine whether this programme has affected Egypt's stock market performance. Using 18 years of data, which covered the period 1980/8 1 to 1997/98 and incorporates time periods prior to and after adopting the economic reform programme, the thesis empirically investigates three main issues. Firstly, there is an examination of whether the Egyptian government succeeded in implementing its economic reform programme by looking to the main economic indicators: nominal interest rates, real interest rates, the inflation rate, exchange rate stability, the real GDP growth rate, per capita income and the budget deficit in Egypt after 1991, and comparing them with the same indicators prior to this period. Secondly, the thesis considers the changes in Egypt's stock market after the introduction of the economic reform programme by measuring the changes in four main dimensions: market activity, market size, market liquidity and market concentration. Thirdly, and this is the main part of the thesis, the research concentrates on examining the impact of Egypt's economic reform programme on its stock market performance. For the first two issues, several logistic regressions are performed to determine whether the data prior to 1991 can be separated from the data relating to the period after 1991. The results from this analysis indicate clearly that both type of data series witnessed dramatic changes after 1991. As to the third issue, cointegration analysis is used to model the relationship between economic reform programme variables and the stock market performance variables within an error correction model form. Generally speaking, the results from this analysis demonstrate that economic variables have an impact upon various features of market activity, market size, market liquidity and market concentration. An important observation in this thesis is that Egypt still needs to accelerate its rate of growth, as it was the only independent variable, which did not show any significant change or significant impact upon the stock market performance variables.
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Whitaker, Richard. "The Effects of Commodity Disturbances on Open Economics." FIU Digital Commons, 2017. http://digitalcommons.fiu.edu/etd/3229.
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This dissertation investigates the effects of commodity disturbances on underlying economies. The analysis conducted in this dissertation comprises of two main themes. The first is investigating which commodity disturbances affect a country's GDP. I examine twenty three OECD countries and nineteen primary commodities in the energy, metal, food and timber sectors using a New Keynesian model that was estimated using the DSGE method. It was found the oil disturbances and to a lesser extend natural gas were the only commodity disturbances that affect a country's GDP. Also, it was found that a country's openness plays an important role in shaping the response to these shocks. The second theme expands on these findings by analyzing the effects of oil and gas disturbances on Trinidad and Tobago by asking (1) How long are the effects from oil and gas disturbances on the economy? (2) How do the long-run effects from oil and gas disturbances differ within the economy? VECM and SVEC methods were used, and the results show that the effects from an oil disturbance are larger in magnitude and duration when compared to a gas disturbance. In addition, the effects of oil and gas disturbances had opposite movements on Trinidad and Tobago's CPI, interest rate, and narrow money velocity, whereas both disturbances were positively correlated in regards to Trinidad and Tobago's output and effective real exchange rate in the long-run.
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Berger, David G. "Essays in financial economics." Pullman, Wash. : Washington State University, 2008. http://www.dissertations.wsu.edu/Dissertations/Fall2008/d_berger_082508.pdf.
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Zabel, Michael [Verfasser], and Gerhard [Akademischer Betreuer] Illing. "Essays in monetary economics and international finance / Michael Zabel. Betreuer: Gerhard Illing." München : Universitätsbibliothek der Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität, 2014. http://d-nb.info/1051777216/34.
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Shoja, Amin. "Three Essays in Health, Welfare, and International Economics." FIU Digital Commons, 2018. https://digitalcommons.fiu.edu/etd/3757.
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Both economists and policy makers are interested in understanding the welfare effect of economic policies, especially in small open economies such as Turkey and Iran. This knowledge is crucial for priority setting in any informed policy discussion. This dissertation aims to study the impoverishing effect of high levels of out-of-pocket (OOP) payments in the health sector, referred to as catastrophic health expenditure (CHE), and investigates the impact of exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) on both the microeconomic and macroeconomic indicators of a country. For millions of people worldwide, health payments present a huge financial risk. A high rate of OOP health care payments can lead to CHE, which can force households to cut down their consumption, minimize access to their needs, or face poverty. This makes the design of financial risk protection necessary for governments in order to secure people against the financial hardship at the time of incurring CHE. This thesis comprises three essays. The first investigates financial risk protection indicators related to OOP health care payments through CHE mean positive overshoot and incidence and depth of impoverishment. This research observes that in the absence of universal health care insurance in Iran, together with a high share of OOP spending for health care (more than 52%), the Iranian households facing CHE will eventually face poverty. In the second essay, using a difference-in-differences propensity score matching approach, I seek to analyze the degree to which Iranian universal health care insurance protects households from high rates of OOP health expenditure. In this study, I evaluate the effect of the universal health insurance program on Iranian CHE. The results show that the program was successful in decreasing the rate of OOP health expenditures and CHE in Iran during the sample period. The third essay estimates the ERPT using product-level daily data on wholesale prices of imported agricultural products, where the identification is possible by using daily data on the domestic inflation rate. The results of standard empirical analyses are in line with existing studies that employ lower frequencies of data by showing evidence for incomplete daily ERPT of about 5 percent.
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Lao, Chi Chi. "International issues in taxation : Macau perspective." Thesis, University of Macau, 1997. http://umaclib3.umac.mo/record=b1636236.
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Thieme, Meredith. "The 'Push' Factors of International Venture Capital." Scholarship @ Claremont, 2019. https://scholarship.claremont.edu/cmc_theses/2048.
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Venture capital (VC), a historically American industry, has been in the process of globalizing in recent years. International venture capital flows (investing outside of one’s own country) have grown substantially over the past 30 years and even more dramatically in just the past decade. Previous research has mostly highlighted the determinants of where capital flows. However, research on the factors in a VC’s home country that affect investments abroad has been underdeveloped. To address this gap, this paper explores the impact of home country economic conditions on VCs’ propensity to invest abroad. I find that higher interest rates and economic wellbeing in a country (as measured by GDP growth and stock market capitalization to GDP) are associated with less deal flow abroad and, that higher foreign exchange rates are related to greater deal flow. I also note an interesting divergence in the role of these factors between VCs located in countries that exhibit different levels of international investing experience. My research indicates that VCs’ home country economic conditions do play a role in their decisions to invest abroad and suggests that these considerations may be different depending on the experience level of the VC industry in the firm’s country.
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Cao, Mengyi. "Labor, Trade and Finance : Essays in Applied Economics." Doctoral thesis, Stockholms universitet, Nationalekonomiska institutionen, 2017. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-148536.
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Essay I: Credit Constraint and College Attendance. This paper shows that housing wealth alleviate credit constraints for potential college attendees by enabling home owners to extract equity from their property and invest it in the education. Using a large US individual-level survey dataset over the 1996-2011 period, I find that one standard deviation increases of housing prices translate into approximately 72,000 more students enrolled in college each year. My results stay significant when I use proxies for aggregate housing demand shocks and for the topological elasticity of housing supply to generate variation in home equity that is assumed to be orthogonal to decision of going to college. Essay II: Income Inequality and Trade. Does trade with unskilled labor-abundant countries reduce the relative wages of U.S. unskilled labor and consequently cause increased income inequality across industries and regions? Empirical studies in the 1990s found only a modest effect. In this paper, I re-consider the question by using the income inequality measures constructed from Current Population Survey (CPS) data and analyzing the effect of rising Chinese import competition between 1993 and 2007 on US local labor markets. I find that areas which are more exposed to China imports competition have larger changes in income inequality. In my main specification, a $1,000 exogenous decadal rise in a MSA's import exposure per worker leads to a 1.5% increase in the logistic Gini. This re-distributive effect is more profound among non-college educated workers in manufacturing sectors. Essay III: Employee as Creditor: Evidence from Defined Pension Plans. In this paper, I show the role of pension plans in shaping the firms' labor market decision. By employing the loan covenants violation and consequently transferring of control rights to creditors, I examine the strategic use of pension underfunding by firms and the resultant wage cuts. I also find that the wage concession is less severe for firms from industry with bigger bargaining power. This study sheds light on how firms strategically renegotiate labor contracts to extract concessions from labor. The evidence suggests that credit contracts between debt-holders and shareholders have spillover effects on non-financial stakeholders.
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De, Leo Pierre. "Essays in Macroeconomics:." Thesis, Boston College, 2019. http://hdl.handle.net/2345/bc-ir:108480.
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Thesis advisor: Susanto BasuThesis advisor: Ryan Chahrour
This dissertation consists of three independent chapters analyzing the sources of business cycles and the role of monetary policy. Taking both closed- and open-economy perspectives, I study the importance of expectations for the empirical identification of economic and policy shocks, the nature of business cycle fluctuations, and the optimal conduct of monetary policy. The first chapter is titled ``International Spillovers and the Exchange Rate Channel of Monetary Policy,'' and is joint work with Vito Cormun. Motivated by the observation that exchange rate fluctuations largely influence small open economies, we propose a novel approach to separately identify the effects of domestic and external shocks on exchange rates and other macroeconomic variables, thereby uncovering a set of new empirical findings. A first finding is that external shocks account for most of exchange rate fluctuations. Relatedly, the bulk of external shocks is strongly correlated with measures of global risk aversion and uncertainty (e.g. the VIX), and a country’s net foreign asset position largely explains the exposure of its exchange rate to external disturbances. A second finding is that domestic and external disturbances generate very different comovement patterns between interest rates and exchange rates. In particular, unlike domestic shocks, external shocks are associated with large and significant deviations from uncovered interest parity. As a result, an econometrician that fails to properly distinguish between sources of exchange rate fluctuations is bound to obtain puzzling estimates of the exchange rate effects of domestic monetary policy shocks. These empirical findings have profound implications for models of small open economy and exchange rate determination. In particular, they favor theories in which exchange rates are jointly determined by the risk-bearing capacity in financial markets as well as the extent of a country’s financial imbalances. For this reason, we develop a model of the international financial sector that satisfies these features, and embed it in an otherwise standard general equilibrium two-country small open economy model. The key mechanism of the model consists of risk averse traders in the foreign exchange markets that require a premium to hold the currency risk of the small open economy. We show that the proposed model is able to reproduce all the empirical findings documented in the empirical analysis, including the cross-country differences in exposure to external shocks, the role of a country’s net foreign asset position, the different responses of interest rates, exchange rates, and currency excess returns across different shocks, as well as the emergence and resolution of the so-called exchange rate response puzzle across different identification approaches. The second chapter is titled ``Should Central Banks Target Investment Prices?'' and is joint work with Susanto Basu. The question posed in the title is motivated by the observation that central banks nearly always state explicit or implicit inflation targets in terms of consumer price inflation. To address the question, we develop an otherwise standard dynamic general equilibrium model with two production sectors. One sector produces consumption goods, while the other produces investment goods. In this context, we show that if there are nominal rigidities in the pricing of both consumption and investment goods and if the shocks to the two sectors are not identical, then monetary policy faces a tradeoff between targeting consumption price inflation and investment price inflation. In a model calibrated to replicate the estimated processes of sectoral total factor productivities as well as a set of unconditional business cycle moments, ignoring investment prices typically leads to substantial welfare losses because the intertemporal elasticity of substitution in investment is much higher than in consumption. Based on the model's predictions, we argue that a shift in monetary policy to targeting a weighted average of consumer and investment price inflation may produce significant welfare gains, although this would constitute a major change in current central banking practice. The third chapter is titled ``Information Acquisition and Self-Fulfilling Business Cycles,'' and is sole-authored work. To study the implications of imperfect information on economic fluctuations, I develop an otherwise standard Real Business Cycle model with endogenous information acquisition, which generates countecyclical firm-level uncertainty and endogenously procyclical productivity, as empirically documented in the literature. The main contribution of this chapter is the observation that this model displays aggregate increasing returns to scale and, potentially, an indeterminate dynamic equilibrium. In fact, an aggregate representation of the model is observationally equivalent to earlier theories of endogenous fluctuations based on increasing returns to scale, but its microeconomic foundations are consistent with empirically observed firm-level returns to scale. In a model calibrated to replicate a set of moments of the empirical distribution of firm-level productivity, self-fulfilling fluctuations are possible. In addition, a Bayesian estimation of the model suggests that non-fundamental shocks explain a significant fraction of aggregate fluctuations
Thesis (PhD) — Boston College, 2019
Submitted to: Boston College. Graduate School of Arts and Sciences
Discipline: Economics
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Alhaj-Yaseen, Yaseen Salah. "Three essays on financial economics." Diss., Kansas State University, 2010. http://hdl.handle.net/2097/4484.
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Doctor of PhilosophyDepartment of Economics
Lance J. Bachmeier
Dong Li
For a unique sample of Israeli stocks that went public in the U.S. and then cross-listed in the home market, Tel Aviv Stock Exchange (TASE), this dissertation consists of three essays examining the dynamics of return spillovers and volume-return interactions across markets and the valuation effect around the event of cross-listing and delisting from the home market. In Chapter II, I investigate the role of trading volume in the information flow and return spillovers between the U.S. and Israeli markets. Findings suggest that the dynamics of volume-return interactions across markets can provide us with valuable information regarding future price movements, which can be a useful tool to predict future returns. I also find the home market to dominate the host market in pricing these stocks, which is consistent with the Home Bias hypothesis. In Chapter III, I analyze the impact of the event of cross-listing on stock returns and risk exposure. The behavior of abnormal returns around the cross-listing date implies that cross-listing in TASE is an effective mechanism in reducing market segmentation between the U.S. and the Israeli capital markets. Risk assessment following the cross-listing suggests a decline firms’ overall risk exposure, indicating a higher degree of integration between the two markets due to cross-listing. In Chapter IV, I evaluate changes in the cost-of-capital for Israeli firms after delisting voluntary from TASE, the home market, while maintaining their listing in the U.S., the host market. The results show a significant positive shift in U.S. and negative shift in Israeli market risk exposure after the delisting. These results indicate that firms delisting form their home market (TASE), face greater risk exposure, higher required returns on their stocks and, hence, higher cost-of-capital after delisting.
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Trudeau, Paul R. "La lettre de crédit stand-by en droit commercial international privé /." Thesis, McGill University, 1989. http://digitool.Library.McGill.CA:80/R/?func=dbin-jump-full&object_id=59589.
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The documentary credit or letter of credit is and has been for many centuries a fundamental instrument of international commerce. The characteristics of simplicity of use and of legendary reliability found in this mechanism of payment have induced the parties involved in world trade to use it as a guarantee to the execution of all kinds of legal obligations such as the full completion of construction work, financing, payment of customs duties or taxes, judicial bonds and even promises of marriage.This master's thesis specifically concerns letters of credit used as a guarantee which are called in the trade "stand-by letters of credit". The first title presents the instrument in a practical context illustrating its principles with examples. The second title examines the legal aspects as such of the stand-by letter of credit while trying to circumscribe the nature of the instrument in law. Finally, in the third title, the cases where the functions and integrity of the instrument are tested are studied thereby identifying the legal strength of stand-by letters of credit recognized by the courts of different jurisdictions.
This study has enabled me to discover that this instrument is not as well suited to be a guarantee than it is to be a payment mechanism. In fact, its principles of function which are assets when used as a payment can become sources of flagrant injustice in the eyes of courts of certain jurisdictions when used as a guarantee.
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Maher, Michel. "Les effets mutuels de la qualification juridique des swaps et des instruments financiers dérivés sur le plan national et international." Thesis, University of Ottawa (Canada), 2003. http://hdl.handle.net/10393/29030.
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Depuis les années 90, on a observé une accélération du changement dans le secteur financier en général et ceci a l'échelle planétaire. Particulièrement innovatrices dans le domaine des instruments financiers, les banques et les maisons de courtage en valeur mobilière ont peut-etre pavé la voie à des restructurations et réorganisations encore plus importantes dans l'ensemble des secteurs de l'économie. Nous pensons qu'à la base, des outils de gestion du risque permettront aux administrateurs de se concentrer davantage sur des objectifs stratégiques de leur entreprise que sur des problèmes d'ordre opérationnel. Nous connaissons en effet, grâce à ce mouvement, une augmentation en volume, en variété et en éfficacité des nouveaux instruments financiers (NIF) et des transactions sur des produits dérivés des titres financiers classiques. Cette thèse vise à développer un cadre d'analyse en ce qui concerne les placements dans les instruments financiers dérivatifs par le moyen de véhicules juridiques transparents. L'intérêt de la question repose sur une base théorique et pratique.
Sur un plan théorique, on constate de plus en plus de difficultés à cerner la nature et la qualification des NIFs. En outre, les instruments financiers dérivatifs, les hybrides, les contrats de crédit croisé ou autres véhicules de placements modernes comportent des éléments d'une telle complexité juridique, financière et fiscale qu'une expertise particulière est parfois nécessaire afin d'en connaître les effets possibles. Bien que l'on sache que les NIFs peuvent servir dans diverses situations en matière de risque financier, il est difficile de cerner exactement les attributs pour lesquels leurs détenteurs en font l'acquisition et si ces raisons sont justifiées. Par exemple on cherchera à savoir si leur qualification officielle est juste et équitable et s'il est opportun de les representer aux états financiers pour les tiers et les lecteurs des rapports annuels. Ceci rappelle les controverses concernant la présentation aux états financiers de passifs éventuels reliés à ces instruments dans des faillites notoires, alors que très peu d'information probante permettait de détérminer avec précision les montants des garanties en cause. Ce n'est qu'après des préjudices importants que toutes ces faits seraient connus de façon claire tandis qu'ils auraient jusqu'alors été voilés sous le couvert de questions théoriques. (Abstract shortened by UMI.)
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Mohd, Daud Siti Nurazira. "Issues in international economics : an empirical study on the sustainability, external debt and reserves management." Thesis, University of Southampton, 2009. https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/72293/.
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This thesis consists of three essays related to balance of payment or the external sector issues. These three essays include an analysis of a country’s current account and fiscal sustainability position, the role of external debt in economic growth, and the reserves and debt management. The main intention of the first essay (comprising Chapter 2) is to analyze the sustainability of the current account and fiscal position for high, middle and low income countries. This empirical analysis makes use of various panel unit root and cointegration tests, as well as fixed and random effects estimators. The results indicate that there is evidence of current account sustainability only for high-income countries indicating that the intertemporal budget constraints are being maintained. In contrast, the middle-income and low-income countries are found to be in an unsustainable current account position. In addition, this paper also finds that all groups of countries have a slow phase of convergence towards equilibrium which suggests that all countries are vulnerable to any sudden shock or stop. Besides that, there is evidence of sustainability on fiscal policy for the high and middle groups of countries. Chapter 3 investigates the issue of whether external debt contributes to expansion in economic growth. This chapter attempts to answer this question by analyzing 31 developing countries over a period of 36 years (1970-2005). The results reveal that the accumulation of external debt is associated with a slowdown in the economies of the developing countries. Besides this, we find evidence that debt service ratio does not crowd out the investment rate in developing countries. In other words, even though the external debt is negatively associated with economic growth, countries are found to be safe from being in the debt overhang hypothesis. However, the negative effect could be interpreted as the main symptom of a country before it becomes involved in the debt overhang problem. In addition, fiscal balance, iii government revenue, openness, and domestic credits are found to have a positive effect on investment and, to a lesser extent, economic growth. Furthermore, there is evidence to support the existence of spatial dependence in the growth model, suggesting the existence of positive spillover effect of growth among the neighbouring countries. This suggests that countries are found to have positive correlation with their neighbours’ economic growth. The main analytical contribution of the final chapter, which is chapter 4, is to analyze the cost of jointly holding reserves and sovereign debt decision. By analyzing the impact of holding reserves and sovereign debt on sovereign credit ratings, this provides the evidence of the costs of holding reserves and debt with respect to credit risk. As predicted by theory, the international reserves-holding is associated with good sovereign credit ratings as well as lower credit risk while the sovereign debtholding leads to a lower sovereign credit rating and high credit risk. This implies that reducing (repaying) their sovereign debts is the best decision for countries to keep and maintain a good credit risk reputation. Meanwhile, the benefit of holding reserves has crowded out the cost of holding short-term debt, resulting in a net positive effect on sovereign ratings. This could imply that a country should hold more reserves with regard to the level of short-term debt which is a highly vulnerable liability for a country. The results reveal that the adequate level of international reserves in month of imports is slightly higher than with the conventional rule which at 3 month of imports.
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Henry, Peter Blair. "Essays on international finance and macroeconomics : the effects of liberalization and reform on LDC stock prices and investment." Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1997. http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/10329.
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Ghonaim, Mahmoud. "The legal aspects of aviation finance in developing countries /." Thesis, McGill University, 1991. http://digitool.Library.McGill.CA:80/R/?func=dbin-jump-full&object_id=59937.
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The assessment of benefits and costs in determining national and international aviation policy by the developing countries differs markedly from that used for advanced countries.The treatment of the subject matter begins in Chapter I with an overview of the aviation industry and its financing Historical Review. Chapter II deals with the problem of recognition of title and security rights in aircraft under international law. Chapter III contains a detailed consideration of the types of commonly used security instruments in aircraft financing. Chapter IV sets out an overview of financing in developing countries, Chapter V contains a study of the various problems facing the asset financing of aircraft in the Third World and possible solutions.
In the last three chapters, emphasis will be placed on regional aviation issues.
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Hsiao-Chi, Chuang Doris. "Governance and trust : an institutional economics perspective on Taiwan's financial reform." Thesis, University of Brighton, 2012. https://research.brighton.ac.uk/en/studentTheses/a3c0a30f-bb7d-4f2b-9f1b-92567f810b60.
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Evolution of the financial system involves continual institutional changes for reform purposes. However, reform experiences differed considerably from one country to another. Why is it that some countries can effectively implement reforms to foster successful development while others fail to do so? This study takes a first step in answering this question. It aims to explain the variations of financial reform experience in terms of informal institutional influence and highlight the importance of governance in shaping the reform outcome. The thesis studies governance characteristics that influence Taiwan's banking evolu- tion and examines the development of both formal and informal institutions. It argues that development of Taiwan's banking sector has been path-dependent and significantly influenced by informal institutions, which held back its recent reform progress. The study comprises three parts: theoretical framework, quantitative statistical research and qualitative country study. It applies the analytical framework set out in the theoretical part and draws on empirical evidences from quantitative research to form the basis for an empirical investigation into the historical financial development and recent reform experience in Taiwan. At the conceptual level, the research adopts the New Institutional Economics (NIE) framework and argues that governance bears a decisive importance for an effective reform because it fosters trust in the institutions and facilitates the reform by encouraging cooperative behaviours among actors. It identifies that governance of financial service industry is perceived from institutional qualities of property rights protection, corruption prevention, and political stability. Using the case of Taiwan's banking sector, the research explores the sector has been shaped and conditioned by the institutional contexts in which it operates. It discovers that that the underdeveloped mechanism for creditors' rights protection, collusion between financial businesses owners and politicians, deadlocked political situation with China contribute to weak governance which amplified its 1990s banking crises. It is observed that government's behaviours did not transform with the reform to form new habits and thoughts under the influence of the institutional persistence, hence only had limited success in inducing policy enforcement. In terms of policy implications, the research encourages policy makers to study historical development and to build upon existing initiatives taking into account the path-dependent environment and informal institutional embeddedness of implemented projects.
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Ying, Zheng. "Measuring the Impossible Trinity: Lessons for Developing Countries." Scholarship @ Claremont, 2018. http://scholarship.claremont.edu/cmc_theses/1785.
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While the Impossible Trinity Theory (also known as the trilemma) has been widely recognized, due to its descriptive nature, very little has been done to test its validity empirically. This paper starts by comparing several recent constructions with regard to this matter and, after making some adjustments to the trilemma index invented by Aizenman et al. (2008), proves the validity of the Impossible Trinity Theory for developing countries. This paper then studies the empirical relationship between a country’s deviation from the average trilemma index and its economic performance. Empirical results find that while the overall deviation does not affect a country’s economic performance, individual deviations as well as regional factors are significant in determining unemployment and the real GDP growth rate.
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Pohl, Nicole. "Mobility in space and time : challenges to the theory of international economics /." Heidelberg : Physica-Verlag, 2001. http://aleph.unisg.ch/hsgscan/hm00028306.pdf.
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Lee, Kuan-Hui. "Liquidity risk and asset pricing." Columbus, Ohio : Ohio State University, 2006. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc%5Fnum=osu1155146069.
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Firla-Cuchra, Maciej. "On securitisations of assets." Thesis, University of Oxford, 2007. http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:4cd23ecc-1d05-4b96-8e90-3ac5312ce715.
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In the first chapter we introduce securitisations and discuss the current state of structured finance in Europe; we also explore the main trends in securitisations and future prospects. Next, we provide a general introduction to the theoretical and empirical literature concerning securitisations and structured finance more generally: we discuss theoretical hypotheses concerning different rationales for structured credit and explore the empirical literature on the topic. In the second chapter, we look at financial contracts determining implicit boundaries of a firm. In the spirit of the incomplete contract theory, we analyse optimal allocations of control in financial contracts involving limits on managerial discretion and legal separation of assets. Our model explores the interplay between different groups of creditors and managers in a symmetric information environment. The results display optimality conditions for different contracts from asset-backed securities through project finance to debt with covenants vis-a-vis a standard debt contract. In the third chapter, we provide the first systematic testing of the theories of tranching. We find support for asymmetric information and market segmentation explanations for tranching and present evidence on how such different rationales influence the structuring process in practice. We also investigate the impact of tranching on the price of securities at the issue level. In the fourth chapter, we investigate determinants of launch spreads in securitisation transactions. First, we develop a reduced-form pricing model of tranches across different transaction types and test it. We document the importance of credit ratings for prices of structured securities. Next, we test for the effect of tranching on pricing of individual securities. Finally, we develop a simultaneous equations supply and demand model with endogenous structuring to further investigate the effects of structuring on prices at launch. In the fifth chapter, we investigate returns to equity around securitisation dates, and explore how different factors influence the size and the direction of the potential effects. We find significant, positive, and consistent abnormal returns to equity on the pricing date, over longer event windows, and over the period immediately prior to the issue date. We find support for the theory that equity holders in well-capitalised banks and firms with low gearing benefit from securitisations. Furthermore, we show that more developed securitisation markets, larger issuers, and banks in particular all benefit from securitisations.
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Li, Yu Fei. "Legal system and market timing effect on capital structure : an international experience." Thesis, University of Macau, 2008. http://umaclib3.umac.mo/record=b1950300.
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Zhu, Lin. "Law, politics and finance." Thesis, University of Macau, 2012. http://umaclib3.umac.mo/record=b2580077.
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Jang, Yong Joon. "Three essays on the effects of trade liberalization on economic performance." [Bloomington, Ind.] : Indiana University, 2009. http://gateway.proquest.com/openurl?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:dissertation&res_dat=xri:pqdiss&rft_dat=xri:pqdiss:3378356.
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Thesis (Ph.D.)--Indiana University, Dept. of Economics, 2009.Title from PDF t.p. (viewed on Jul 6, 2010). Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 70-10, Section: A, page: 3955. Adviser: Michael Alexeev.
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Ros, Eduardo De Nardi. "Um teste empírico para mudanças em níveis para precificação de ativos." Universidade de São Paulo, 2012. http://www.teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/12/12138/tde-08022013-201057/.
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O objetivo deste trabalho é realizar um teste empírico da teoria de precificação de ativos em um conjunto de países. Em geral, a literatura utiliza testes para o modelo CAPM a partir de uma cross-section de ativos, encontrando evidências que vão tanto ao seu encontro como o refutam. No presente trabalho, entretanto, utiliza-se um teste de mudanças no nível de exposição ao risco sistemático, de maneira similar a Chari e Henry (2004). O experimento natural será a concessão (ou perda) de grau de investimento das principais agências de risco. A hipótese é que ativos sujeitos a novo nível de risco sistemático devem ter seu retorno alterado de acordo com as respectivas magnitudes individuais das diferenças no nível de exposição ao risco sistemático. Os resultados confirmam o que se espera ao examinar-se a teoria.The objective of this dissertation is to perform an empirical test of the asset pricing theory in a set of countries. The literature usually tests CAPM from a cross-section, finding evidence that both confirm and refute theory predictions. In the present dissertation change in levels are used to test CAPM, similar to Chari and Henry (2004). The natural experiment is the countries\' rate upgrade to investment grade or downgrade to speculative grade by major ratings agencies. The hypothesis is that return of assets subject to a change in levels of systematic risk should be amended in accordance with their respective magnitudes of individual differences in exposure to systematic risk. The results confirm theory predictions.
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Jaw, Yi-Long. "Exchange rate dynamics : a synthesis of the asset approach and central bank operations." The Ohio State University, 1987. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1269525644.
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Li, Qiang. "A study of the effects of technology, international trade and consumption on individual income and income discrepancy in China." Thesis, University of Macau, 2008. http://umaclib3.umac.mo/record=b1951102.
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