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Thematische Bibliographien / Luck Analysis

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Auswahl der wissenschaftlichen Literatur zum Thema „Luck Analysis“

Autor: Grafiati

Veröffentlicht am 30. Juni 2021

Zuletzt aktualisiert am 1. Februar 2022

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Zeitschriftenartikel zum Thema "Luck Analysis"

1

Stoutenburg, Gregory. „THE EPISTEMIC ANALYSIS OF LUCK“. Episteme 12, Nr. 3 (28.01.2015): 319–34. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/epi.2014.35.

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AbstractDuncan Pritchard has argued that luck is fundamentally a modal notion: an event is lucky when it occurs in the actual world, but does not occur in more than half of the relevant nearby possible worlds. Jennifer Lackey has provided counterexamples to accounts which, like Pritchard's, only allow for the existence of improbable lucky events. Neil Levy has responded to Lackey by offering a modal account of luck which attempts to respect the intuition that some lucky events occur in more than half of the relevant nearby possible worlds. But his account rejects that events which are as likely as those in Lackey's examples are lucky. Instead, they are merely fortunate. I argue that Levy's argument to this effect fails. I then offer a substitute account of the improbability condition which respects this intuition. This condition says that the relevant notion of probability for luck is epistemic.

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Chernyak, Alexey Z. „Knowledge and Luck“. Epistemology & Philosophy of Science 57, Nr. 2 (2020): 61–78. http://dx.doi.org/10.5840/eps202057222.

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There is a widely shared belief in contemporary epistemology that propositional knowledge is incompatible with certain kinds of luck, most of all with so called veritic luck. A subject is veritically lucky in his or her belief that p if this belief is true not due to its foundations (for example, reasons which an agent has to believe that p) but by mere accident. The acceptance of the thesis of incompatibility of knowledge with this kind of luck led to significant modifications of a popular modern epistemological tripartite analysis of propositional knowledge according to which subject knows that p if and only if he or she believes that p is true, p is actually true, and an agent’s belief that p is true is justified. In his famous paper “Is True Justified Belief Knowledge” E. Gettier demonstrated that true justified belief may not be knowledge. The core of the problem is that in the cases described by Gettier and the like an agent’s belief, though justified, is true by accident. This gave rise to a set of theories introducing additional conditions of knowledge which could exclude veritic luck. In this paper the author critically discusses main modifications of the tripartite concept of knowledge aimed at making it independent on veritic luck, and show that they are unable to solve this problem. He agrees with those who think that the very thesis of incompatibility of knowledge with veritic luck is wrong. But he disagrees that all kinds of veritic luck are compatible with knowledge: the author supposes that good veritic luck is compatible with knowledge only when it compensates some negative effect of antecedent bad epistemic luck. According to this view original Gettier examples are not cases of knowledge whereas broken-clocks case and fake-barns case are. This account allows treating many classic cases of dependence of knowledge on luck as cases of knowledge-acquirement, but in the same time it excludes the inclusion into the class of knowledge such intuitively irrelevant outcomes as lucky guess and wishful thinking.

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Teigen, Karl Halvor, und Tine K. Jensen. „Unlucky Victims or Lucky Survivors?“ European Psychologist 16, Nr. 1 (01.01.2011): 48–57. http://dx.doi.org/10.1027/1016-9040/a000033.

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Subjective experiences of good or bad luck appear to depend upon downward or upward comparisons with close counterfactuals. People exposed to disasters have both options: They were at the wrong place at the wrong time, but their fate could in many cases have been worse; so in a sense, they are unlucky victims, but lucky survivors. Interviews with 85 Norwegian tourists 9–11 months after they had been exposed to the tsunami disaster in Southeast Asia showed good luck to be a pivotal theme in a majority of the narratives. Nobody claimed they had been unfortunate or unlucky. Moreover, downward counterfactual thoughts and downward comparisons with others occurred 10 times more often than upward counterfactuals and upward comparisons. In a follow-up 2 years later, 95% answered they had been lucky. A contextual analysis revealed several facets of luck, including its relation to gratitude, guilt, and supernatural beliefs.

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Wilhelm, Isaac. „A statistical analysis of luck“. Synthese 197, Nr. 2 (06.03.2018): 867–85. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11229-018-1745-4.

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ELVIDGE, SEAN. „THE LUCK IN “TALENT VERSUS LUCK” MODELING“. Advances in Complex Systems 23, Nr. 03 (Mai 2020): 2050007. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/s0219525920500071.

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This paper further investigates the Talent versus Luck (TvL) model described by [Pluchino et al. Talent versus luck: The role of randomness in success and failure, Adv. Complex Syst. 21 (2018) 1850014] which models the relationship between ‘talent’ and ‘luck’ on the impact of an individuals career. It is shown that the model is very sensitive to both random sampling and the choice of value for the input parameters. Running the model repeatedly with the same set of input parameters gives a range of output values of over 50% of the mean value. The sensitivity of the inputs of the model is analyzed using a variance-based approach based upon generating Sobol sequences of quasi-random numbers. When using the model to look at the talent associated with an individual who has the maximum capital over a model run it has been shown that the choice for the standard deviation of the talent distribution contributes to 67% of the model variability. When investigating the maximum amount of capital returned by the model the probability of a lucky event at any given epoch has the largest impact on the model, almost three times more than any other individual parameter. Consequently, during the analysis of the model results one must keep in mind the impact that only small changes in the input parameters can have on the model output.

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CLARKE, STEVE. „Luck and miracles“. Religious Studies 39, Nr. 4 (16.10.2003): 471–74. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0034412503006619.

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In another paper published here, I criticized Stephen Mumford's causation-based analysis of miracles on the grounds of its failure to produce results that are consistent with ordinary intuitions. In a response to me, intended as a defence of Mumford's position, Morgan Luck finds fault with my rival approach to miracles on three grounds. In this response to Luck I argue that all three of his criticisms miss their mark. My response to Luck's final line of criticism helps shed light on the difference between my approach to the definition of miracles and that due to Mumford. While my approach is driven by both metaphysical and epistemological considerations, Mumford's approach appears to be driven exclusively by metaphysical considerations.

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Fry, Mary D. „A Developmental Analysis of Children’s and Adolescents’ Understanding of Luck and Ability in the Physical Domain“. Journal of Sport and Exercise Psychology 22, Nr. 2 (Juni 2000): 145–66. http://dx.doi.org/10.1123/jsep.22.2.145.

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Using Nicholls’ developmental component as a framework, the purpose of this study was to examine children’s understanding of luck and ability in the physical domain. Children (N = 144, 8 boys and 8 girls at each age from 5 to 13 years) enrolled in public schools participated individually in a 30-min session in which they were shown 2 similar games; one required luck and the other required skill to perform successfully. Participants received an explanation of the games and were told of youngsters who had tried unsuccessfully to play them. Participants were interviewed, and their responses were analyzed via a Piagetian structural developmental method. Results revealed that the 4 levels of understanding of luck and ability Nicholls and Miller (1985) described were relevant to the physical domain. Furthermore, the Spearman rho coefficient indicated a strong positive relationship between children’s age and their level of understanding of luck and ability.

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Stoutenburg, Gregory. „Luck, Knowledge, and Epistemic Probability“. Logos & Episteme 11, Nr. 1 (2020): 97–109. http://dx.doi.org/10.5840/logos-episteme20201116.

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Epistemic probability theories of luck come in two versions. They are easiest to distinguish by the epistemic property they claim eliminates luck. One view says that the property is knowledge. The other view says that the property is being guaranteed by a subject’s evidence. Asbjørn Steglich-Petersen defends the Knowledge Account (KA). He has recently argued that his view is preferable to my Epistemic Analysis of Luck (EAL), which defines luck in terms of evidential probability. In this paper, I defend EAL against Steglich-Petersen’s arguments, clarify the view, and argue for the explanatory significance of EAL with respect to some core epistemological issues. My overall goal is to show that an epistemic probability account of luck rooted in the concepts of evidence and evidential support remains a viable and fruitful overall account of luck.

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CHALLET, DAMIEN, ALESSANDRO PLUCHINO, ALESSIO EMANUELE BIONDO und ANDREA RAPISARDA. „THE ORIGINS OF EXTREME WEALTH INEQUALITY IN THE TALENT VERSUS LUCK MODEL“. Advances in Complex Systems 23, Nr. 02 (März 2020): 2050004. http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/s0219525920500046.

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While wealth distribution in the world is highly skewed and heavy-tailed, human talent — as the majority of individual features — is normally distributed. In a recent computational study by Pluchino et al. [Talent vs luck: The role of randomness in success and failure, Adv. Complex Syst. 21(03–04) (2018) 1850014], it has been shown that the combined effects of both random external factors (lucky and unlucky events) and multiplicative dynamics in capital accumulation are able to clarify this apparent contradiction. We introduce here a simplified version (STvL) of the original Talent versus Luck (TvL) model, where only lucky events are present, and verify that its dynamical rules lead to the same very large wealth inequality. We also derive some analytical approximations aimed to capture the mechanism responsible for the creation of such wealth inequality from a Gaussian-distributed talent. Under these approximations, our analysis is able to reproduce quite well the results of the numerical simulations of the simplified model in special cases. On the other hand, it also shows that the complexity of the model lies in the fact that lucky events are transformed into an increase of capital with heterogeneous rates, which yields a nontrivial generalization of the role of multiplicative processes in generating wealth inequality, whose fully generic case is still not amenable to analytical computations.

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Bondy, Patrick. „Revisiting Anti-Luck Epistemology“. Southwest Philosophy Review 35, Nr. 1 (2019): 107–15. http://dx.doi.org/10.5840/swphilreview201935111.

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According to anti-luck approaches to the analysis of knowledge, knowledge is analyzed as unlucky true belief, or unlucky justified true belief. According to virtue epistemology, on the other hand, knowledge is true belief which a subject has acquired or maintained because of the exercise of a relevant cognitive ability. ALE and VE both appear to have difficulty handling some intuitive cases where subjects have or lack knowledge, so Pritchard (2012) proposed that we should take an anti-luck condition and a success-from-ability condition as independent necessary conditions on knowledge. Recently, Carter and Peterson (2017) have argued that Pritchard’s modal notion of luck needs to be broadened. My aim in this paper is to show that, with the modal conception of luck appropriately broadened, it is no longer clear that ALE needs to be supplemented with an independent ability condition in order to handle the problematic Gettier cases.

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Dissertationen zum Thema "Luck Analysis"

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Lam, Man-on, und 林文安. „Exploitation and luck in capitalism: a philosophical analysis“. Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 1997. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B31214253.

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Lam, Man-on. „Exploitation and luck in capitalism : a philosophical analysis /“. Hong Kong : University of Hong Kong, 1997. http://sunzi.lib.hku.hk/hkuto/record.jsp?B18611904.

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Moreira, Paulo Gabriel Góis. „Manager skill or luck? Assessing active management decisions through attribution analysis“. Master's thesis, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, 2020. http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/19784.

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Mestrado em Mathematical Finance
É dito que negociar é semelhante a apostar em jogos de casino: pode haver certas técnicas, mas o fator mais importante é a sorte. Já me deparei com um conjunto de pessoas que pensam dessa forma. Como pode haver gerentes (managers) de portfólios como Blackrock ou J.P. Morgan com tanta reputação e clientes? Como é que eles alcançam melhores resultados do que outros gerentes, consistentemente ao longo do tempo? Este relatório não fornece uma resposta direta à pergunta acima. Porém, apresenta uma compilação do conhecimento adquirido durante um estágio de três meses na Mercer relacionado com medição do desempenho e o seu uso para analisar as fontes de excesso de retorno em relação a um índice de referência. Esta dissertação foi escrita com a crença de que um excess de retorno positivo consistente ao longo do tempo é um indicador da habilidade do gerente (Christopherson et al., 1998). Em termos práticos, os cálculos diários das medidas de desempenho e risco forneceram uma compreensão mais profunda da teoria financeira e dos métodos reais usados num contexto profissional. Neste documento, o capítulo 1 apresenta os conceitos básicos sobre o estágio e a sua finalidade. O capítulo 2 apresenta uma descrição das tarefas realizadas na Mercer e a teoria financeira por trás delas. O capítulo 3 contém um caso prático de análise de atribuição. O capítulo 4 contém as principais conclusões.
Some say trading is just like gambling in a casino: there can be certain techniques, but the most important factor is luck. I have come across more than a handful of people stating similar assertions. How can there be portfolio managers such as Blackrock or J. P. Morgan with such reputation and so many clients? How is it that they reach better results than other managers do, consistently over time? This report does not provide a direct answer to the above question. However, it compiles the knowledge acquired over a three-month internship at Mercer related to performance measurement and its use to analyze the sources of excess return relative to a benchmark. The following dissertation has been written with the belief that a consistent positive excess return over time is an indicator of manager skill (Christopherson et. al., 1998). In practical terms, daily calculations of performance and risk measures provided a deeper understanding on the financial theory and the actual methods used in a professional environment. In this document, Chapter 1 introduces the basics about the internship and its purpose. Chapter 2 presents a description of the tasks undertaken at Mercer and the financial theory behind them. Chapter 3 contains a practical case of attribution analysis. Chapter 4 holds the main conclusions.
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion

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Trojanowski, Mikolaj, und Johan Andersson. „Are you lucky or skilled in Slay The Spire? : An analysis of randomness“. Thesis, Malmö universitet, Institutionen för datavetenskap och medieteknik (DVMT), 2021. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:mau:diva-43090.

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Elements of randomness are a common factor inmodern digital games, from simple rolls of a die tocomplex AI systems. These elements have an impacton how the player experiences a game. We believe thatexploring the field of luck analysis can benefit designersthrough an developed understanding of how such elementsaffect players. The developers of the digital card gameSlay the Spire has released 77 millions of instances ofplay and sample of these are explored in this study. Withthe use of data mining, data clustering and correlationanalysis the effect of elements of randomness present inSlay the Spire are analyzed. In conclusion, three playerskill groups were identified with the use of clustering:Winners, Low skill losers and High skill losers. Weobserved that people who succeeded in beating the game,had an increased amount of randomness in the formof cards by a factor of 1.82. Showing that more skilledplayers do not shy away from randomness but insteadembrace it more than lower skilled players.

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Church, Ian M. „Virtue epistemology and the analysis of knowledge“. Thesis, University of St Andrews, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/10023/3118.

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This thesis centers on two trends in epistemology: (i) the dissatisfaction with the reductive analysis of knowledge, the project of explicating knowledge in terms of necessary and jointly sufficient conditions, and (ii) the popularity of virtue-theoretic epistemologies. The goal of this thesis is to endorse non-reductive virtue epistemology. Given that prominent renditions of virtue epistemology assume the reductive model, however, such a move is not straightforward—work needs to be done to elucidate what is wrong with the reductive model, in general, and why reductive accounts of virtue epistemology, specifically, are lacking. The first part of this thesis involves diagnosing what is wrong with the reductive model and defending that diagnosis against objections. The problem with the reductive project is the Gettier Problem. In Chapter 1, I lend credence to Linda Zagzebski's grim 1994 diagnosis of Gettier problems (and the abandonment of the reductive model) by examining the nature of luck, the key component of Gettier problems. In Chapter 2, I vindicate this diagnosis against a range of critiques from the contemporary literature. The second part involves applying this diagnosis to prominent versions of (reductive) virtue epistemology. In Chapter 3, we consider the virtue epistemology of Alvin Plantinga. In Chapter 4, we consider the virtue epistemology of Ernest Sosa. Both are seminal and iconic; nevertheless, I argue that, in accord with our diagnosis, neither is able to viably surmount the Gettier Problem. Having diagnosed what is wrong with the reductive project and applied this diagnosis to prominent versions of (reductive) virtue epistemology, the final part of this thesis explores the possibility of non-reductive virtue epistemology. In Chapter 5, I argue that there are three strategies that can be used to develop non-reductive virtue epistemologies, strategies that are compatible with seminal non-reductive accounts of knowledge and preserve our favorite virtue-theoretic concepts.

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Curton, Carman C. „Women Becoming: a Feminist Critical Analysis of Mother-Daughter Relationships in Amy Tan's "The Joy Luck Club" and "The Kitchen God's Wife"“. Thesis, University of North Texas, 1993. https://digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc500230/.

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This analysis of Tan's first two novels reveals that her female characters suffer from the strains critics like Amy Ling say result from the double paradox of filling the roles of mother or daughter as minority women in a white, male society. Recognizing this double paradox offers Tan's characters, and her readers, the opportunity to resolve the conflicts between mothers and daughters in The Joy Luck Club. Using the theories of psychologist Kathie Carlson helps readers understand how the protagonist of The Kitchen God's Wife resolves similar conflicts with her daughter and her own mother by seeking support from a mythic mother-figure, a Goddess of her own making.

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Wong, Ching-lun Helen. „Twice marginalized: women's identities in a foreign land: an analysis of Jean Rhys's Wide Sargasso Sea and AmyTan's the Joy Luck Club“. Thesis, The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong), 2005. http://hub.hku.hk/bib/B31583994.

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Wong, Ching-lun Helen. „Twice marginalized women's identities in a foreign land: an analysis of Jean Rhys's Wide Sargasso Sea and Amy Tan's the Joy Luck Club /“. Click to view the E-thesis via HKUTO, 2005. http://sunzi.lib.hku.hk/hkuto/record/B31583994.

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Hadincová, Ludmila. „Being in the Right Place at the Right (and Bad) Time: Analysis of CEO Rewards for Luck before and after the Credit Crunch“. Master's thesis, Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze, 2013. http://www.nusl.cz/ntk/nusl-192671.

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Diploma thesis tests the existence of luck premium on U.S. CEOs' compensations. Luck premium means that in case of high principal-agent costs, CEOs are rewarded for random luck and not only for their productivity. Thesis uses financial crisis in 2008 as a breaking event after which attention and control of CEOs' remuneration by owners, public, and media intensified. Using regression with fixed effects on panel data between years 2004 and 2012 thesis proved impact of luck premium before 2008 while the influence was not significant after 2008. Results were not robust for other model specifications, which might be caused by selectivity of the dataset. Thesis then presents overview of theoretical approaches to CEOs' compensation analysis and recommendations for optimal compensation set-up.

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Kelp, Christoph F. F. „A minimalist approach to epistemology“. Thesis, University of Stirling, 2007. http://hdl.handle.net/1893/242.

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This thesis addresses the problem of the analysis of knowledge. The persistent failure of analyses of knowledge in terms of necessary and sufficient conditions is used to motivate exploring alternative approaches to the analytical problem. In parallel to a similar development in the theory of truth, in which the persistent failure to provide a satisfactory answer to the question as to what the nature of truth is has led to the exploration of deflationary and minimalist approaches to the theory of truth, the prospects for deflationary and minimalist approaches to the theory of knowledge are investigated. While it is argued that deflationary approaches are ultimately unsatisfactory, a minimalist approach to epistemology, which characterises the concept of knowledge by a set of platitudes about knowledge, is defended. The first version of a minimalist framework for the theory of knowledge is developed. Two more substantive developments of the minimalist framework are discussed. In the first development a safety condition on knowledge is derived from the minimalist framework. Problems for this development are discussed and solved. In the second development, an ability condition is derived from the minimalist framework. Reason is provided to believe that, arguably, the ability condition can avoid the problems that beset traditional analyses of knowledge. It is also shown that even if this argument fails, minimalist approaches to epistemology may serve to provide a functional definition of knowledge. Reason is thus provided to believe that minimalist approaches to epistemology can make progress towards addressing the problem of the analysis of knowledge.

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Bücher zum Thema "Luck Analysis"

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Lister, Florence Cline. Pot luck: Adventures in archaeology. Albuquerque: University of New Mexico Press, 1997.

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Novels for students: Presenting analysis, context, and criticism on commonly studied novels. Detroit, Mich: Gale, 2011.

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Wall, Vanessa. Cloning and expression analysis of the LUCA-15 gene in cancer cell lines. Sudbury, Ont: Laurentian University, 2003.

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Rotblut, Charles. Better good than lucky: How savvy investors create fortune with the risk-reward ratio. Cedar Falls, Iowa: W&A Publishing, 2010.

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La mise en discours: Recherches sémiotiques à propos de l'Évangile de Luc. [Paris]: Éditions du Cerf, 1987.

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Tye, Mark. An analysis of 'Numéro deux' by Jean-Luc Godard and Anne-Marie Mieville. [Derby]: Derbyshire College of Higher Education, 1988.

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Venner, J. G. C. Beeldenstorm in Hasselt, 1567: Achtergronden en analyses van een rebellie tegen de prins-bisschop van Luik. Leeuwarden: Eisma, 1989.

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Das ästhetische Dilemma der italienischen Komponisten in den 1590er Jahren: Die Chromatik in den späten Madrigalen von Luca Marenzio und Carlo Gesualdo. Frankfurt am Main: P. Lang, 2000.

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Johnson, Paul. An analysis of 'Sauve qui peut (la vie)'/'Every man for himself (in life)' - a film by Jean-Luc Godard. [Derby]: Derbyshire College of Higher Education, 1985.

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Keidan, Artemij, und Luca Alfieri, Hrsg. Deissi, riferimento, metafora. Florence: Firenze University Press, 2008. http://dx.doi.org/10.36253/978-88-8453-744-7.

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This collection of essays by young specialists in linguistic disciplines addresses the oldest – and yet still topical – issues in the debate on language. It also includes a contribution by the famous Russian semiologist Boris Uspenskij (pupil, friend and collaborator of L. Hjelmslev, R. Jakobson and M. Lotman). Valentina Martina explores the relation between the plane of linguistic meanings and reality through an analysis of the concept of "system". The article by Artemij Keidan addresses the problem of the definition of deixis and its role in the disambiguation of proposition, with special reference to structuralism and contemporary theories on direct reference. The work of Luca Alfieri takes its cue from recent studies on cognition to demonstrate the unsustainability of the Jacobsonian dichotomy of metaphor and metonymy. Rounding off the book is an essay by Boris Uspenskij on the role of personal pronouns in the structure of language, in semiotics and in human communication, lavishly illustrated with examples and historical curiosities.

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Buchteile zum Thema "Luck Analysis"

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McPherran, Mark L. „Virtue, Luck, and Choice at the End of the Republic“. In Reason and Analysis in Ancient Greek Philosophy, 197–209. Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-6004-2_11.

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Broersen, Jan. „A stit Logic Analysis of Morally Lucky and Legally Lucky Action Outcomes“. In Outstanding Contributions to Logic, 75–98. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-01754-9_4.

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Leise, Tanya L. „Computational Analysis of PER2::LUC Imaging Data“. In Circadian Clocks, 295–302. New York, NY: Springer US, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-0716-0381-9_22.

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Liang, Youjia, Lijun Liu und Jiejun Huang. „An Integrated Modeling Analysis to LUCC Dynamic at Regional Scale“. In Springer Geography, 3–18. Singapore: Springer Singapore, 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-9125-5_1.

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Döhne, Malte. „Luce/Perry (1949): A Method of Matrix Analysis of Group Structure“. In Schlüsselwerke der Netzwerkforschung, 363–65. Wiesbaden: Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-21742-6_83.

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Shparlinski, Igor. „Bit Security of the XTR and LUC Secret Keys“. In Cryptographic Applications of Analytic Number Theory, 217–21. Basel: Birkhäuser Basel, 2003. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-0348-8037-4_20.

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Le Bon, Joël. „The Accidental Salesperson: Can Inexperienced Sales Professionals Get Lucky Without Working Smart or Hard? An Abstract“. In Marketing at the Confluence between Entertainment and Analytics, 1233. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-47331-4_236.

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Arezki, Rachid, Abdenour Mokrane, Gérard Dray, Pascal Poncelet und David W. Pearson. „LUCI: A Personalization Documentary System Based on the Analysis of the History of the User’s Actions“. In Flexible Query Answering Systems, 487–98. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2004. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-25957-2_38.

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„Bags of luck“. In Strategic Management and Business Analysis, 291–304. Routledge, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.4324/9781315745565-31.

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Dowding, Keith. „Social choice and the grammar of rights and freedoms“. In Power, Luck and Freedom. Manchester University Press, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.7228/manchester/9781526107282.003.0014.

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The techniques of social choice and game theory are increasingly being used to analyse concepts in political theory. Although these techniques may prove invaluable for teasing out contradictory formulations, puzzles and problems with traditional concepts, formal writers often begin their analysis with simplistic intuitive accounts rather than building on earlier traditions in analytic political theory. This is particularly apparent in social-choice and game-theory analysis of rights and freedoms. This chapter reviews these approaches and demonstrates that by ignoring the grammar of rights and freedoms, social-choice and game-theory analysis goes wrong from the very beginning. Formal writers need to take more account of the history of their subject, as developed in the analytic theory tradition.

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Konferenzberichte zum Thema "Luck Analysis"

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„A Brief Analysis of Phonological Ambiguity in American Sitcom---Good Luck Charlie“. In International Conference on Education, Management, Computer and Society. Scholar Publishing Group, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.38007/proceedings.0001780.

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Malinetskii, Georgii Gennadyevich. „Good and bad luck of a computer project“. In 4th International Conference “Futurity designing. Digital reality problems”. Keldysh Institute of Applied Mathematics, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.20948/future-2021-3.

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A computer project in the world and in Russia is now usually viewed as an economic, technological or military one. At the same time, it is a global social project. From the theory of the humanitarian and technological revolution, it follows that at the current point of bifurcation, its results can determine the path of humanity to the future. I show that the results of this project reflect the readiness of civilizations for socio-technological change. The COVID-19 pandemic turned out to be a test for social imperatives and had a huge impact on computer reality in the formation of a new sociality. Book by K. Schwab, T. Mallerert “COVID-19: The great reset” represents a variant of such sociality. The analysis presented in this work shows the unacceptability of the proposed changes for the world of Russia. A study of large-scale computer projects in Russia and Belarus shows the need to bring them to a new sociocultural level, much higher than the current one. The unsuccessful experience of mass e-education in the Union State confirmed the imperative of Norbert Wiener: “Render unto man the things which are man’s and unto the computer the things which are the computer’s”. This should, apparently, be a reasonable line of behavior in organizing joint actions of people and machines.

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Kurilenco, Victoria. „�GOOD LUCK!� OR �IYI SANSLAR!�: A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF RUSSIAN AND TURKISH SPEAKING ETIQUETTE“. In 4th International Multidisciplinary Scientific Conference on Social Sciences and Arts SGEM2017. Stef92 Technology, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.5593/sgemsocial2017/hb31/s10.051.

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Patil, Navendu, Pradeep Mahadevan und Anindya Chatterjee. „Fatigue Laws via Functional Equations“. In ASME 2008 9th Biennial Conference on Engineering Systems Design and Analysis. ASMEDC, 2008. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/esda2008-59243.

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In routine industrial design, fatigue life estimation is largely based on S-N curves and ad hoc cycle counting algorithms used with Miner’s rule for predicting life under complex loading. However, there are well known deficiencies of the conventional approach. Of the many cumulative damage rules that have been proposed, Manson’s Double Linear Damage Rule (DLDR) has been the most successful. Here we follow up, through comparisons with experimental data from many sources, on a new approach to empirical fatigue life estimation (‘A Constructive Empirical Theory for Metal Fatigue Under Block Cyclic Loading’, Proceedings of the Royal Society A, in press). The basic modeling approach is first described: it depends on enforcing mathematical consistency between predictions of simple empirical models that include indeterminate functional forms, and published fatigue data from handbooks. This consistency is enforced through setting up and (with luck) solving a functional equation with three independent variables and six unknown functions. The model, after eliminating or identifying various parameters, retains three fitted parameters; for the experimental data available, one of these may be set to zero. On comparison against data from several different sources, with two fitted parameters, we find that our model works about as well as the DLDR and much better than Miner’s rule. We finally discuss some ways in which the model might be used, beyond the scope of the DLDR.

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DANILOWSKA, Alina. „WOMEN PARTICIPATION IN LOCAL AUTHORITIES MANAGEMENT IN RURAL AREAS IN POLAND“. In RURAL DEVELOPMENT. Aleksandras Stulginskis University, 2018. http://dx.doi.org/10.15544/rd.2017.246.

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The aim of the paper is to evaluate the scope and determinants of women participation in basic local authorities in rural areas in Poland. In the paper the detailed analysis on the problem were carried out on 5% of women and 5% of men headed rural gminas. The analysis showed that the women participation in top positions in governing bodies of local communities in Poland is low. It indicates the existence of the severe problem with women promotion to the top positions in decision bodies in politics. The luck of differences in women role betwee rural and urban communities is a very interesting result. Gminas managed by women are rather smaller than gminas administered by men. In many gminas the position of women at the village level is higher than at gmina level. The findings suggest the connection between activity of women at village level and women position as mayor. Moreover, the investigation showed that in rural gminas women prevail in important back-office positions like main secretary of the gmina office and chief aaccountant. So, women are familiar with their gminas problems, are involved in management of them but they don’t apply for top positions. It seems that the concept of labyrinth can be applicable to the situation of women in decision making bodies in rural areas in Poland.

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Gladysz, Szymon, Julian C. Christou und Michael Redfern. „“Lucky Imaging” with Adaptive Optics“. In Adaptive Optics: Methods, Analysis and Applications. Washington, D.C.: OSA, 2007. http://dx.doi.org/10.1364/aopt.2007.atua7.

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Alyaev, Sergey, Andrew Holsaeter, Reidar Brumer Bratvold, Sofija Ivanova und Morten Bendiksen. „Systematic Decisions Under Uncertainty: An Experiment Towards Better Geosteering Operations“. In SPE/IADC International Drilling Conference and Exhibition. SPE, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.2118/204133-ms.

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Abstract Geosteering workflows are increasingly based on updated quantifications of subsurface uncertainties during real-time operations. These workflows give tremendous amounts of information that a human brain cannot make sense of. To advance value creation from geosteering, the industry should develop and adopt decision support systems (DSSs). DSSs might provide either expert tools which inform decisions under uncertainty or optimization-based recommendations. In both cases the adoption of a DSS would require new skillsets to dynamically and systematically interpret uncertainties and parameters required for operational decision making. The aim of this work is to identify the relevant skills and ways to aid good geosteering decisions. We present an experiment where 54 geosteering experts took part in performing steering decisions under uncertainty in a controlled environment using an online competition platform. In the experiment we compare the decisions of the experts with an AI bot that had the same information at its disposal. Two of the participants beat the AI bot. A survey was conducted to reveal their winning strategies. The survey shows that both of the winners had extensive prior geosteering experience. That, together with luck, allowed them to beat the AI bot. At the same time neither of the winners utilized the full potential of uncertainty tools in the platform. While geosteering experts possess insights due to prior experience, the information in the real-time data will still be overwhelming, sometimes resulting in inconsistent and unreliable geosteering choices. The AI bot guarantees reliable and consistent decisions by optimization based on systematic uncertainty analysis. Further development of DSSs, and their use as training-simulators for experts, should lead to improved well placements through adopting well-established principles for high-quality decision-making.

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Guajardo, Rogelio, Thomas Hennig, Carlota Mendez und Beatriz Tarramera. „Cracks in Dents: How Can I Use an ILI Robot to Detect Them?“ In 2020 13th International Pipeline Conference. American Society of Mechanical Engineers, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/ipc2020-9544.

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Abstract Cracks in dents or linear anomalies interacting with dents are a major pipeline threat. These combined anomalies represent challenges to the Mechanical Engineers that design ILI tools as they need to keep the sensor in an optimal position towards the inner pipe wall. Ultrasonic Crack (UC) tools consist in a sensor plate with a fixed incidence angle that depends on the coupling medium. This plate is then attached to the skids; these are in constant contact with the internal pipe wall. When the tool interacts with a dent, the incidence angle is not optimal; therefore, detection of any interacting feature is compromised. By not having the optimum angles in the pipe wall, the amplitudes from the reflections caused by cracks will be attenuated. Depending on the magnitude of the attenuation, these might be below analysis thresholds meaning that an algorithm and/or analyst will not consider them as relevant signals. Up to this point, detection of interacting features sounds like a “guess “ or “luck”. So, how can we use UC inspection to detect the interacting features? How can operators manage their assets knowing that they have dents but there is an uncertainty if there are interacting features? To answer these questions, a systematic approach had to be used. It consisted of multiple phases where 1.- The mechanical design of the tool was understood, 2.- Simulation campaigns to understand the ultrasonic pulse while interacting with the dent, 3.- Pump tests with artificial features, and 4.- Pump test with real features. All of the data gathered through the different phases allowed the authors to understand the attributes from the features and conditions that influence detection and identification of cracks in dents. This derived in a performance specification stating the truth capabilities to detect interacting features in a dent. These learnings were applied to commercial inspections where the feedback loop is closed with the field verifications.

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Ammala, Keonuchan, YaoLin Liu und Ji Rong Tai. „Automatic detection of LUCC based on SIFT“. In International Symposium on Spatial Analysis, Spatial-temporal Data Modeling, and Data Mining, herausgegeben von Yaolin Liu und Xinming Tang. SPIE, 2009. http://dx.doi.org/10.1117/12.838660.

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An, Zhuomo, Shuangliang Tian und Cai Jin. „Proper lucky number of product graph of path“. In 2021 International Conference on Big Data Analysis and Computer Science (BDACS). IEEE, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/bdacs53596.2021.00066.

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