Auswahl der wissenschaftlichen Literatur zum Thema „Crisis Complexity“

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Zeitschriftenartikel zum Thema "Crisis Complexity"

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Siegel, Alan. „The Complexity Crisis“. Design Management Review 23, Nr. 2 (22.05.2012): 4–14. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1948-7169.2012.00179.x.

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Guntzburger, Yoann, und Thierry C. Pauchant. „Complexity and ethical crisis management“. Journal of Organizational Effectiveness: People and Performance 1, Nr. 4 (25.11.2014): 378–401. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/joepp-09-2014-0060.

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Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to analyse the Fukushima nuclear disaster (FND) that occurred 11 March 2011 through the lens of the systemic and complexity theory. This analysis allows the proposition of some guidelines for the development of a more preventive and ethical approach in crisis management, including changes in human resource management and training. Design/methodology/approach – Thanks to a layered analysis of the complex system that represents the FND and an actor/stake approach, this paper sheds light on the many failures that occurred on the personal, organizational, institutional, political and cultural level. Findings – This analysis highlights that, beyond the apparent simplicity of the natural trigger events, a complex network of legal, cultural and technological paradigms, as well as the defense mechanisms of personal and organizational moral disengagement, have structured the context of this crisis, allowing for an event to turn into this disaster. Practical implications – This study shows the limit of classical approach towards crisis management such as probabilistic risk assessment in terms of systemic and complexity: the assessment could be easily overcome if the mindset of the organization leaders is not already oriented towards preventive management. Originality/value – The value of this study is participating to the effort of showing the need to develop more preventive mindsets and behaviours in the global economy, dealing with worldwide and complex issues.
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Minati, Gianfranco. „Knowledge to Manage the Knowledge Society: Complexity and the Systemic Concept of Crisis“. Acta Europeana Systemica 8 (09.07.2020): 3–14. http://dx.doi.org/10.14428/aes.v8i1.56183.

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We briefly propose a possibly more precise systemic understanding of the process of crisis with the purpose of allowing suitable, appropriate modifying interventions. Examples and types of crises are introduced. At a suitable level of representation we consider crisis as a non-autonomous parasitic process of the hosting one(s); processes acquiring characteristics autonomous with respect to those of the hosting process(es); processes converging to degeneration and malfunctioning; which are emergent and given by coherent, subsequent and related new degenerative properties or loss of coherence among emergent processes of the hosting one(s). Possible symptoms for diagnostics and prediction of processes of crisis are outlined. Types of crisis are considered and some generic exemplifying types of actions on crises are proposed. The main purpose of this article is to show that different types of processes of crisis having different natures are possible and that suitable, appropriate approaches should be adopted.
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Olalere, Anthony. „Complexity and leadership crisis in Africa“. International Journal of Public Leadership 11, Nr. 3/4 (10.08.2015): 180–91. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ijpl-08-2015-0021.

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Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to evaluate a leadership crisis in Africa with the view to suggested new model that help overcome the leadership gap. Design/methodology/approach – This paper adopt the complexity leadership approach to explicate the leadership crisis in Africa. Findings – This paper suggested that the use of complexity leadership model of enabling leadership to better understand the complex leadership crisis. Research limitations/implications – The application of the leadership enables an appreciation of contemporary leadership realities. Originality/value – This paper adopting complexity leadership is novel and helps to fill the gap in understanding of present leadership crisis.
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Gallagher, John. „American Leadership Amidst Complexity and Crisis“. Review of Faith & International Affairs 14, Nr. 2 (02.04.2016): 1–5. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15570274.2016.1184442.

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Cooper, Melinda. „COMPLEXITY THEORY AFTER THE FINANCIAL CRISIS“. Journal of Cultural Economy 4, Nr. 4 (November 2011): 371–85. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17530350.2011.609692.

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Pöltner, P., und T. Grechenig. „Organic Finance Framework: Aligning Financing Complexity with Organisational Complexity (for Innovative Companies)“. International Journal of Trade, Economics and Finance 11, Nr. 6 (Dezember 2020): 156–62. http://dx.doi.org/10.18178/ijtef.2020.11.6.682.

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The organic finance framework is a new tool for managing the challenges of corporate financing. This framework is especially useful for small and medium-sized enterprises in the time of a crisis, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. At its core, the framework forces a rethink of the manner in which companies initiate their financing approach. In contrast to finding potential external sources of finance, the organic finance framework starts by looking at the relevant stakeholders of the company. Alternative financing methods, such as crowdfunding and crowdinvesting, have demonstrated that companies can work with potential future customers at an early stage in the company lifecycle to finance the development of an offering. Thus, the organic finance framework presents a global structural visualisation of the corporate financing domain that can help business owners to better align the lifecycle of a company with its funding sources.
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Jörg, Ton. „The Crisis and the Complexity of Knowing“. International Journal of Knowledge and Systems Science 3, Nr. 3 (Juli 2012): 1–14. http://dx.doi.org/10.4018/jkss.2012070101.

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The crisis our society finds itself in is very much a crisis of knowledge; that is, a lack of knowledge about the complex world. Humanity ‘simply’ do not know what they do not know. This is true for the complexity of a nonlinear complex reality. Complexity is still taken for granted. Ignorance on complexity is still dominating our worldview. Complex organizations are trying to face the complexity of the world, but show at the same time their ignorance on the very complexity of complexity. Harnessing complexity is a hardy perennial for these complex organizations. They do not seem able to explore the very potential of complexity for their own organizations, in terms of fostering creativity and innovation. The only remedy for this is first to recognize their ignorance on the topic of complexity. To confront complexity you first need to become (more) knowledgeable about the very dynamics of complexity.
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Piqueira, José Roberto C., und Letícia Pelluci D. Mortoza. „Brazilian exchange rate complexity: Financial crisis effects“. Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation 17, Nr. 4 (April 2012): 1690–95. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cnsns.2011.08.031.

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Cherkashina, Tatyana N. „Russia-US-EU Relations: Crisis of the International Security System“. Herald of Omsk University. Series: Historical Studies 7, Nr. 1 (25) (07.07.2020): 142–46. http://dx.doi.org/10.24147/2312-1300.2020.7(1).142-146.

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This article is about the crisis of the international security system associated with relations between Russia and the West. The complexity and multidimensionality of this crisis is shown. Its components are distinguished: the crisis of transatlantic relations, relations between Russia and Europe, Russia and the USA. The main aspects of each of the crises are highlighted. The author's vision of an attempt to resolve this crisis is outlined.
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Dissertationen zum Thema "Crisis Complexity"

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Paraskevas, Alexandros. „Organisational crisis signal detection from a complexity thinking perspective“. Thesis, Oxford Brookes University, 2009. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.515276.

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Temnikova, Irina. „Text complexity and text simplification in the crisis management domain“. Thesis, University of Wolverhampton, 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/2436/297482.

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Due to the fact that emergency situations can lead to substantial losses, both financial and in terms of human lives, it is essential that texts used in a crisis situation be clearly understandable. This thesis is concerned with the study of the complexity of the crisis management sub-language and with methods to produce new, clear texts and to rewrite pre-existing crisis management documents which are too complex to be understood. By doing this, this interdisciplinary study makes several contributions to the crisis management field. First, it contributes to the knowledge of the complexity of the texts used in the domain, by analysing the presence of a set of written language complexity issues derived from the psycholinguistic literature in a novel corpus of crisis management documents. Second, since the text complexity analysis shows that crisis management documents indeed exhibit high numbers of text complexity issues, the thesis adapts to the English language controlled language writing guidelines which, when applied to the crisis management language, reduce its complexity and ambiguity, leading to clear text documents. Third, since low quality of communication can have fatal consequences in emergency situations, the proposed controlled language guidelines and a set of texts which were re-written according to them are evaluated from multiple points of view. In order to achieve that, the thesis both applies existing evaluation approaches and develops new methods which are more appropriate for the task. These are used in two evaluation experiments – evaluation on extrinsic tasks and evaluation of users’ acceptability. The evaluations on extrinsic tasks (evaluating the impact of the controlled language on text complexity, reading comprehension under stress, manual translation, and machine translation tasks) Text Complexity and Text Simplification in the Crisis Management domain 4 show a positive impact of the controlled language on simplified documents and thus ensure the quality of the resource. The evaluation of users’ acceptability contributes additional findings about manual simplification and helps to determine directions for future implementation. The thesis also gives insight into reading comprehension, machine translation, and cross-language adaptability, and provides original contributions to machine translation, controlled languages, and natural language generation evaluation techniques, which make it valuable for several scientific fields, including Linguistics, Psycholinguistics, and a number of different sub-fields of NLP.
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Popolo, Damian. „The science of crisis : modernity, complexity theory and the Kosovo“. Thesis, Durham University, 2009. http://etheses.dur.ac.uk/2045/.

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Speakman, Mark Kevin. „Perspectives on destination crisis management in the UK and Mexico : conventional crisis models and complexity theory“. Thesis, University of Central Lancashire, 2014. http://clok.uclan.ac.uk/11090/.

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Tourism destinations are particularly vulnerable to crises and disasters and while a number of tourism specific crisis management models exist to assist managers and to provide a reference point for academics, they unfortunately display a number of limitations which reduce their effectiveness. For example, drawing on organisational crisis management theory as a framework, they fail to account for differences in size and scope between a typical business organisation and a tourism destination. At the same time, the prescriptive, linear, one-size-fits-all structure of the models does not consider the unpredictable, unique nature of crises and disasters, the manner in which they evolve and the distinct characteristics of individual tourism destinations. Furthermore, they presume coordination will automatically occur when, in reality, competition and rivalry often act as a barrier to the implementation of measures to achieve such aims. Beyond these specific limitations, perhaps the most pertinent challenge to contemporary models is that they fail to recognise the chaotic nature of the system and its environment. Various commentators have suggested a chaos and complexity theory approach to tourism crisis management. In this way, the tourism system is viewed as a complex adaptive system, similar to an ecological community, which, despite its chaotic exterior, demonstrates an underlying current of orderliness and a particular aptitude for self-organisation. The ability of a system, under the correct conditions, to self-organise and evolve to an improved state of being has implications for the management of crises and disasters. Nevertheless, despite prompts from academia to investigate further, research has been extremely sparse and the potential of chaos and complexity theory as a method to manage tourism crises has remained relatively unknown. This thesis, therefore, seeks to address the gap in the literature. Its overall purpose is to identify whether the proposed limitations of existing frameworks are demonstrated in practice and to consider whether a complexity-based perspective on tourism crisis and disaster management represents a more viable framework for managers of tourism destinations preparing for and responding to crises. To address this purpose, two case studies were conducted in the context of two tourism crises, namely the 2001 UK Foot and mouth crisis and the 2009 Mexican H1N1 Influenza crisis. Following an interpretivist theoretical approach to the research, a series of semi-structured interviews were performed with relevant participants associated with each crisis and the information gathered was analysed along with media and government documentary evidence pertaining to each crisis. The research serves to substantiate the claim that the proposed limitations diminish the effectiveness of contemporary tourism crisis and disaster models, as the limitations are clearly evident in both case studies. Moreover, the case studies also offer the opportunity to observe manifestations of the elements of chaos and complexity, which enables the conclusion to be drawn that had the Foot and Mouth crisis and the H1N1 Influenza crisis been managed using complexity theory based management strategies, facilitated by the implementation of a ‘learning destination’ type structure, then the crisis response would have been improved.
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Roukny, Tarik. „Financial Networks, Complexity and Systemic Risk“. Doctoral thesis, Universite Libre de Bruxelles, 2016. http://hdl.handle.net/2013/ULB-DIPOT:oai:dipot.ulb.ac.be:2013/223913.

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The recent financial crisis has brought to the fore the need to better understand systemic risk, that is, the risk of collapse of a large part of the financial system and its potential effects on the real economy. In this thesis, we argue that a proper assessment of systemic risk must include an analysis of the network of interdependencies that exists between the different financial institutions. In fact, today's level of financial interconnectedness between and among markets has proven to have ambiguous effects. On the one hand, a highly connected system allows to diversify risk at the micro level. On the other hand, too much interdependencies provide various paths for contagion to take place and propagate at the macro level. In what follows, we analyze financial markets as networks of interactions and dependencies between financial agents. Through this lens, we investigate three major aspects: (i) how the structure of financial networks can amplify or mitigate the propagation of financial distress, (ii) what are the implications for macro-prudential regulation and (iii) which patterns of interactions characterize real financial networks.We start out by delivering a stability analysis of a network model of interbank contagion that accounts for panics and bank runs. We identify the effects of market architecture, banks' capital ratios, market liquidity and shocks. Our results show that no single network architecture is always superior to others. In particular, highly concentrated networks can both be the most robust and the most fragile depending on other market characteristics, mainly, liquidity.We then move on to tackle issues related to the building of regulatory frameworks that adequately account for the effects of financial interdependencies. We propose a new methodology to compute individual and systemic probabilities of default and show that certain network characteristics give rise to uncertainty. More precisely, we find that network cycles are responsible for the emergence of multiple equilibria even in the presence of complete knowledge. In turn, multiple equilibria give rise to uncertainty for the regulator in the determination of default probabilities. We also quantify the effects of network structures, leverage, volatility and correlations.Having introduced a way to overcome multiplicity, we deliver a method that quantifies the price of complexity in financial markets based on the above mentioned model. This method consists of determining the scope of possible levels of systemic risk that can be obtained when some parameters are subject to small deviations from their true value. The results show a price to the interconnected nature of credit markets even when the equilibrium is unique: small errors can lead to large mistakes in measuring the likelihood of systemic default. Extending the model to account for derivative contracts, we show that error effects increase dramatically as more types of contracts are present in the system. While there is an intuition for such phenomenon, our framework formalizes the idea and quantifies its determinants.In the last part of this thesis, we contribute to the quantitative analysis of real financial networks. We start with a temporal network analysis of one of the major national interbank markets, that is, the German interbank market. We report on the structural evolution of two of the most important over-the-counter markets for liquidity: the interbank market for credit and for derivatives. We find that the majority of interactions is concentrated onto a set of few market participants. There also exists an important correlation between the borrowing and lending activities for each bank in terms of numbers of counterparties. In contrast with other works, we find little impact of the 2008 crisis on the structure of the credit market. The derivative market however exhibits a peak of concentration in the run up to the crisis. Globally, both markets exhibit large levels of stability for most of the network metrics and high correlation amongst them.Finally, we analyze how banks interact with the real economy by investigating the network of loans from banks to industries in Japan. We find evidence of a particular structure of interactions resulting from the coexistence of specific strategies both on the lending side and the borrowing side: generalist agents and specialist agents. Generalist banks have a diversified portfolio (i.e. they provide liquidity to almost all industries) while specialist banks focus their activity on a narrow set of industries. Similarly, generalists industries obtain credit from all banks while specialist industries have a restricted number of creditors. Moreover, the arrangement of interactions is such that specialists tend to only interact with generalists from the other side. Our model allows to structurally characterize highly persistent, and economically meaningful, sets of generalists and specialists. We further provide an analysis of the factors that predict whether a given bank or industry is a generalist. We show that size is an important determinant, both for banks and industries, but we also highlight additional relevant factors. Finally, we find that generalist banks tend to be less vulnerable. Hence, how banks position themselves in the network has important implications for their risk profile. Overall the results presented in this thesis highlight the complex role played by financial interlinkages. Therefore, they demonstrate the need to embed the network dimension in the regulatory framework to properly assess the stability profile of financial systems. Such findings are relevant for both theoretical modeling and empirical investigations. We believe that they also shed light on crucial aspects of systemic risk relevant for policy making and regulation of today's complex financial systems.
Doctorat en Sciences de l'ingénieur et technologie
info:eu-repo/semantics/nonPublished
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Azawi, Athil, und Pegah Hassani. „Crisis Consultants & the Vastly Changing Environment : A deductive study of the crisis consultant's perceptions & the effect of the Covid-19 Pandemic“. Thesis, Uppsala universitet, Företagsekonomiska institutionen, 2021. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-447375.

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As the risk society has evolved, crisis management has become significant in order to survive a crisis. Crisis consultants have an important role in the risk society and organizations expects a whole lot from the profession. There is a gap in the research about the perceptions of crisis consultant’s role and expectancies in the risk society. Additionally, there is no research connected to the impact of the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic on the profession of crisis consulting. The study aims to explore the crisis consultants view of and their role in the risk society. It also seeks to investigate how the crisis consultants have adapted to the Covid-19 pandemic. The study has been conducted through a qualitative case study consisting of various crisis consultants from diverse consultancies. The primary data consisted of eight semi-structured in- depth interviews. Crises in the risk society has become more complex due to the developing technology which has had an effect on the dispersion of information and personal exposures. Crisis consultants are expected to act as change agents who provides an outside perspective and pushes the client forward during crises. The Covid-19 pandemic has had no effect on the types of crisis and neither on the processes used by the crisis consultants. The shift lies within tools and certain procedures where social distancing and digitalization has become the new standard. Although the alterations have been challenging in some situations, the crisis consultants have still managed to fulfill their tasks and increase their workload.
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Page, Geoff William. „Risks, needs and emotional rewards : complexity and crisis in the Drug Interventions Programme“. Thesis, University of Cambridge, 2013. http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.608165.

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Ambrose, Kathleen L. „KEEPING IT ALL TOGETHER: THE CHALLENGE OF COMPLEXITY, REPUTATION, AND SUPPLY CHAIN CRISES“. UKnowledge, 2018. https://uknowledge.uky.edu/comm_etds/68.

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Supply chains are developed to reduce business expenses and increase efficiency. However, a disruption in the supply chain, or a failure in one of the links, can expose organizations to crises that can severely impact short-term bottom line and long-term corporate reputation. This study examines the communication challenges inherent in supply chain crises using Samsung’s 2016 Galaxy Note 7 phone crisis as a case study. Results of this study show, in a supply chain crisis, stakeholders hold the organization responsible, regardless of where in the supply chain the break occurred. This study also examines the impact of complexity inherent to supply chain crises and the challenges organizations face during a crisis when organizational reputation is impacted by links in the supply chain outside the organization’s direct control.
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Sands, Daniel B. „Complexity Theory, Asymmetric Shock, and the Emergence of Previously Hidden Subsystems within the 2008/2009 Global Financial Crisis“. Thesis, The University of Arizona, 2009. http://hdl.handle.net/10150/192958.

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Fransson, Felicia, und Christoffer Lindskog. „Meningsskapande och meningsgivande inom komplexa krisgrupper : En fallstudie om meningsskapande och meningsgivande påverkan på den komplexa krisgruppen för översvämningarna i Mälaren år 2019“. Thesis, Södertörns högskola, Företagsekonomi, 2020. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-41657.

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Purpose: The purpose of this study is to increase the knowledge of the complexity of a crisis team consisting of multiple government. Furthermore, the consequences of the complexity on the sensemaking and sensegiving processes, regarding the crisis team in a natural disaster. Method: To be able to answer the questions regarding this study, the empirical data has been collected through six (6) interviews. The researchers for this study have applied a case study on the floodings of Mälaren December 2019. Therefore, the interviews have been done with the persons within this crisis team. Empiricism and Analysis: The theoretical framework that has been applied for the analysis of this study consists of three main topics, complexity, sensemaking and sensegiving. Conclusions: The final conclusions of this study identify that there are multiple factors of complexity that affect the sensemaking and sensegiving process. These complexity factors are: routines, preexperiences, excellence in specific field, terminology, missions, mandate and hierarchy. These complexity factors create frictions and possibilities for the crisis team in regard of the consequences of the complexity factors on the sensemaking and sensegiving processes.
Syfte: Syftet med studien är att skapa en ökad förståelse för komplexitetens påverkan på den meningsskapande och meningsgivande processen. Samt hur detta påverkar en krisgrupp bestående av flertalet myndigheter i en hantering av en naturkatastrof. Metod: För att besvara studiens frågeställningar har det empiriska materialet samlats in genom en kvalitativ metod, i form av sex semistrukturerade intervjuer. Då forskarna för denna studie har tillämpat en fallstudie grundar sig studien på översvämningskriserna i december 2019. Därmed genomfördes intervjuerna på respondenter som representerade olika myndigheter som samverkat i detta fall. Empiri och analys: Det underlag som använts till studiens analys är den teoretiska referensramen som omfattar litteratur om komplexitet, meningsskapande och meningsgivande. Slutsatser: De slutsatser som identifierades var att komplexa faktorer hade en påverkan på meningsskapande och meningsgivande processerna. Dessa huvudsakliga faktorer identifierades som: rutiner, tidigare erfarenheter, spetskompetenser, terminologier, uppdrag, mandat och hierarki. Dessa komplexa faktorer gör att meningsskapande och meningsgivande processerna skapar friktioner och möjligheter för krisgruppen.
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Bücher zum Thema "Crisis Complexity"

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Mariotti, John L. The complexity crisis. Avon, Mass: Adams Media, 2007.

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Mariotti, John L. The Complexity Crisis. Cincinnati: F+W Media, Inc., 2009.

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Crisis, complexity and conflict. Bingley: Emerald, 2009.

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Subacchi, Paola, Tamim A. Bayoumi und Stephen Pickford. Managing complexity: Economic policy cooperation after the crisis. Washington, D.C: Brookings Institution Press, 2015.

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Newlove, Lindy, Eric K. Stern und Stephanie Buus. Value complexity in crisis management: The Lithuanian transition. Stockholm: Swedish National Defence College, 2005.

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Herz, Robert H. Accounting changes: Chronicles of convergence, crisis, and complexity in financial reporting. [Durham, NC?]: American Institute of Certified Public Accountants, 2013.

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Rosethal, Uriel. Complexity in Urban Crisis Management: Amsterdam's Response to the Bijlmer Disaster. London: James & James Science Publishers, 1994.

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Peters, Edgar E. Patterns in the dark: Understanding risk and financial crisis with complexity theory. New York: Wiley, 1999.

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Stubbart, Charles I. Uncertainty, complexity, conflicts of interest, emotional involvement and the quality of crisis thinking. [Urbana]: College of Commerce and Business Administration,University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 1986.

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Stubbart, Charles I. Uncertainty, complexity, conflicts of interest, emotional involvement and the quality of crisis thinking. [Urbana]: College of Commerce and Business Administration,University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 1986.

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Buchteile zum Thema "Crisis Complexity"

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Crozier, Michel. „The Crisis of Complexity“. In Knowledge and Politics, 147–52. Heidelberg: Physica-Verlag HD, 2001. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-57564-8_7.

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Nedopil, Christoph, Ulrich Steger und Wolfgang Amann. „Complexity in a Crisis“. In Managing Complexity in Organizations, 346–62. London: Macmillan Education UK, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-137-28570-6_18.

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Heise, Michael. „Introduction: Managing Complexity“. In Emerging from the Euro Debt Crisis, 1–3. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-37527-9_1.

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DeTombe, Dorien. „Global Safety and Economy: The Credit Crisis“. In Handling Societal Complexity, 341–76. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-43917-3_10.

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Maya, İlknur Çalışkan. „Primary School Principals’ Crisis Management Skills“. In Chaos, Complexity and Leadership 2012, 95–101. Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-7362-2_13.

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Skreta, Vasiliki, und Laura Veldkamp. „Did Asset Complexity Trigger Ratings Bias?“ In Lessons from the Financial Crisis, 259–65. Hoboken, NJ, USA: John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/9781118266588.ch33.

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Bar-Yam, Yavni, Marco Lagi und Yaneer Bar-Yam. „South African Riots: Repercussion of the Global Food Crisis and US Drought“. In Conflict and Complexity, 261–67. New York, NY: Springer New York, 2015. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4939-1705-1_14.

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Johannessen, Stig O. „Network Strategies and Complexity“. In Strategies, Leadership and Complexity in Crisis and Emergency Operations, 97–110. New York : Routledge, [2017]: Routledge, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.4324/9781315713038-10.

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Hong, Ling, und Jian-Qiao Sun. „A Fuzzy Crisis in a Duffing-Van der Pol System“. In Nonlinear Science and Complexity, 419–24. Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-9884-9_49.

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Bar-Yam, Yaneer. „Complex Systems Science: From Cell Regulation to the Global Food Crisis“. In Emergence, Complexity and Computation, 19–28. Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-45438-7_3.

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Konferenzberichte zum Thema "Crisis Complexity"

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Kušen, Ema, und Mark Strembeck. „Structural Similarities of Emotion-exchange Networks: Evidence from 18 Crisis Events“. In 6th International Conference on Complexity, Future Information Systems and Risk. SCITEPRESS - Science and Technology Publications, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.5220/0010397000250036.

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„The Complexity Crisis - Using Modeling and Simulation for System Level Analysis and Design“. In 3rd International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications. SciTePress - Science and and Technology Publications, 2013. http://dx.doi.org/10.5220/0004986700050013.

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Voytsekhovich, Vyacheslav Emerikovich. „Mathematics of the future“. In 4th International Conference “Futurity designing. Digital reality problems”. Keldysh Institute of Applied Mathematics, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.20948/future-2021-8.

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Mathematics has entered a crisis of complexity. The main reason is the use of immutable concepts according to the law of identity of Aristotle's logic. The evidence has become super-long, unverifiable. Overcoming the crisis is possible in the transition from immutable concepts to "mobile" ones, in the generalization of the law of identity. In modern mathematics, there are prerequisites for such a transition – in qualitative theory, probability theory, algorithm theory, and foundations. The future of mathematics lies in the development of categories as transformative concepts.
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Buzna, Lubos, Rui Carvalho, Flavio Bono, Marcelo Masera und David K. Arrowsmith. „Congestion dependencies in the European gas pipeline network during crises“. In 2014 Complexity in Engineering (COMPENG). IEEE, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/compeng.2014.6994681.

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Lauc, Zvonimir, und Marijana Majnarić. „EU LEGAL SYSTEM AND CLAUSULA REBUS SIC STANTIBUS“. In EU 2021 – The future of the EU in and after the pandemic. Faculty of Law, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.25234/eclic/18352.

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We are witnesses and participants of Copernican changes in the world which result in major crises/challenges (economic, political, social, climate, demographic, migratory, MORAL) that significantly change “normal” circumstances. The law, as a large regulatory system, must find answers to these challenges. Primarily, these circumstances relate to (i) the pandemic - Corona 19, which requires ensuring economic development with a significant encroachment on human freedoms and rights; (ii) globalization, which fundamentally changes the concept of liberal capitalism as the most efficient system of production of goods and services and democracy as a desirable form of government; (iii) automation, robotics, artificial intelligence, and big data are changing the ways we work, live, communicate, and learn in a Copernican manner. The law should serve to shape the relationship between people in order to realize a life of love and freedom. This is done to the greatest extent through the constitutional engineering of selected institutions. The legal system focuses on institutions that have a raison d'etre in their mission, which is read as “ratio legis”, as a desirable normative and real action in the range of causal and teleological aspect. Crisis situations narrow social cohesion and weaken trust in institutions. It is imperative to seek constitutional engineering that finds a way out in autopoietic institutions in allopoietic environment. We believe that the most current definition of law is that = law is the negation of the negation of morality. It follows that morality is the most important category of social development. Legitimacy, and then legality, relies on morality. In other words, the rules of conduct must be highly correlated with morality - legitimacy - legality. What is legal follows the rules, what is lawful follows the moral substance and ethical permissibility. Therefore, only a fair and intelligent mastery of a highly professional and ethical teleological interpretation of law is a conditio sine qua non for overcoming current anomalies of social development. The juridical code of legal and illegal is a transformation of moral, legitimate and legal into YES, and immoral, illegitimate and illegal into NO. The future of education aims to generate a program for global action and a discussion on learning and knowledge for the future of humanity and the planet in a world of increasing complexity, uncertainty and insecurity.
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Soloviev, Vladimir, Serhiy Semerikov und Victoria Solovieva. „Lempel-Ziv Complexity and Crises of Cryptocurrency Market“. In III International Scientific Congress Society of Ambient Intelligence 2020 (ISC-SAI 2020). Paris, France: Atlantis Press, 2020. http://dx.doi.org/10.2991/aebmr.k.200318.037.

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Keefe, Andrew C., Geoffrey P. McKnight, Guillermo A. Herrera, P. Anthony Bedegi, Christopher B. Churchill, Alan L. Browne und Jeff Brown. „Development of a Shape Memory Alloy Heat Engine Through Experiment and Modeling“. In ASME 2011 Conference on Smart Materials, Adaptive Structures and Intelligent Systems. ASMEDC, 2011. http://dx.doi.org/10.1115/smasis2011-5212.

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Few technologies can produce meaningful power from low temperature waste heat sources below 250°C, particularly on a per-mass basis. Since the 1970’s energy crisis, NiTi shape memory alloy (SMA) and associated thermal engines have been considered a viable heat-to-power transducer but were not adopted due to previously poor material quality, low supply, design complexity, and cost. Decades of subsequent material development, research, and commercialization have resulted in the availability of consistently high-quality, well-characterized, low cost alloys and a renewed interest in SMA as a waste heat energy recovery technology. The Lightweight Thermal Energy Recovery System (LighTERS) is an ongoing ARPA-E funded collaboration between General Motors Company, HRL Laboratories, Dynalloy, Inc., and the University of Michigan. In this paper we will present initial results from investigations of a closed loop SMA thermal engine (a refinement of the Dr. Johnson design) using a helical coil element and forced-air heat exchange. This engine generates mechanical power by continuously pulling itself through separate hot and cold air streams using the shape memory phase transformation to alternately expand and contract at frequencies between 0.25 and 2 Hz. This work cycle occurs continuously along the length of the coil loop and produces steady state power against an external moment. We present engine features and the thermal envelope that resulted in devices achieving between 0.1 and 0.5 W/g of shape memory alloy material using only forced air heat exchangers and room temperature cooling.
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Rosero, Veronica, Andrea Gritti, Juan Carlos Dall'Asta, Riccardo Porreca, Daniele Rocchio und Franco Tagliabue. „Study of morphological structures of historical centres as a basic toll for understanding the new conditions of social habitat. Quito, Siracusa and Suzhou“. In 24th ISUF 2017 - City and Territory in the Globalization Age. Valencia: Universitat Politècnica València, 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.4995/isuf2017.2017.6261.

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In the age of globalization, architecture (through an identity crisis) is directly connected with the loss of progressive recognition of morphological studies of city and territory, in a gradual replacement with real-time views of phenomena and urban facts. The satellite gaze finally flattens the interpretation ability of living spaces that were the prerogative of the morphological studies. The actual complexity of cities and territories escapes from the architect's eyes as they increase their technical capability to know details. The season of great renovations and methodological studies that had powered the 1960s, 70s and 80s seems hopelessly distant. Studies on social, economic, and environmental components of the cities and territories (infrastructure, public space, environmental networks) are so proliferated without actually being supported by adequate interpretations of their physical-spatial dynamics. The result: a substantial failure of architectural design to express human habitat visions. It is imperative a theoretical and practical effort to pick up the threads of an interrupted conversation, and return where these studies have expressed their richest potential: the historical centers, the places with most dense and rich heritage. Historical centers of cities like Quito, Siracusa and Suzhou have settled and stratified the morphological structures of several different settlement patterns. As a result, architecture has demonstrated an ability of description and interpretation. Reflecting on how this goal was reached in these cities (by means much less powerful than the current) settlement will be able to bid the morphological component of urban and regional studies and architecture project as a fundamental tool for understanding the human habitat.
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Battistoni, Chiara, Agnese Pallaro und Leire Arrizabalaga Arambarri. „Systemic Design for a sustainable local economic development: Lea-Artibai case study“. In Systems & Design: Beyond Processes and Thinking. Valencia: Universitat Politècnica València, 2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.4995/ifdp.2016.3309.

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The Systemic Design approach provides a methodology to define complex territorial network of companies with reduced environmental impact. This method defines a way of analysis to understand and map the complexity of current issues addressing them at different levels, in order to design appropriate and long lasting solutions mainly based on the increase of relations between the involved actors. The creation of a network of connections permits to obtain several positive outcomes that involve both the territory and the society that lives in it and it also makes the system more resilient. An holistic diagnosis is the starting point for the identification of different areas to develop a systemic project. This methodology was applied to Lea-Artibai, a department of the Basque Country. Its economy is historically based on forestry and fishing that are currently facing a long-lasting crisis and it is difficult to intervene in these sectors for the complexity of the regulatory system. The holistic diagnosis highlighted other territorial potentialities of the area, mainly the agri-food sector (with traditional products and dishes) and the deeply rooted culture of cooperation. As a kick-off for the creation of the net between the different actors of the department was chosen the creation of a 'Systemic Buying Group (SBG)'. It enables to start the cooperation between the partners for the success of the pilot project: a large cooperative with its employees as potential clients, a cooperative of local producers and transformers, a little shop working as the bridge of communication between them. At their side operate AZARO fundazioa (a private non –profit centre for entrepreneurship and innovation that promotes the creation of new businesses and the competitive improvement of the business network) as the coordinator of the project and the Systemic Design Group of Politecnico di Torino in the role of project leader. The project underlines the role of design as a deeply interdisciplinary field of work that is able to talk and cooperate with different disciplines to reach a collective goal: the environmental, social and economic sustainability. The SBG becomes the driver of change for the enhancement of the territory and the implementation of systemic design in the area, for an economy based on the quality instead of the quantity. A concrete action that acts on a small scale permits to manage the transition from the design of intangible to tangible.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.4995/IFDP.2016.3309
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Koevski, Goran, Borka Tushevska Gavrilovikj und Darko Spasevki. „THE CONCEPT OF LENIENCY IN REPUBLIC OF NORTH MACEDONIA“. In International Jean Monnet Module Conference of EU and Comparative Competition Law Issues "Competition Law (in Pandemic Times): Challenges and Reforms. Faculty of Law, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.25234/eclic/18814.

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The concept of "leniency" in competition law, or better known as the "leniency programme", has proven to be an extremely important instrument in fighting unfair competition. In the Republic of Northern Macedonia (hereinafter RNM), this concept of suppressing or reducing unfair competition, more or less, exists solely as a law conception. Nowadays, when the EU discusses the impact of the global crisis and the Coronavirus pandemic on the level of utilization of ”leniency programme", this concept is still unknown or not a well-known concept for business sector in RNM. The main focus of this article is “leniency programme” in RNM. The key questions that we aim to answer here, are: whether and to what extent this instrument is predicted in Macedonian competition law? Is it predicted only as a law category, or it has practical implications too? Although this research refers to RNM, we strongly believe that a thorough study of “leniency” requires exploration of European conception of “leniency” too. For that purpose, we use relevant EU legislation, as well as practice. Thus, our main goal is to consider the position of RNM towards “leniency” and bring into relation to the Macedonian competition law. We base our hypothetical framework on the assumption that the applicability of “leniency programme” in RNM is at the lowest level. Furthermore, that the undertakings are not interested in applying “leniency”. This situation is partly due to the lack of information, the complexity of the application procedure, as well as other factors that are related not only to the attitude of the executive of undertakings, but more to the general economic circumstances, economic development, the market size of goods and services, etc. Using the analytical-descriptive method, the comparative method, and the method of analysis and synthesis, we’ll elaborate the situation in RNM regarding this issue, and we will present our views considering the questions: whether certain measures should be taken regarding „leniency program“, and what should be done to boost the use of this program in the Macedonian business sector.
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Berichte der Organisationen zum Thema "Crisis Complexity"

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McKenna, Patrick, und Mark Evans. Emergency Relief and complex service delivery: Towards better outcomes. Queensland University of Technology, Juni 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.5204/rep.eprints.211133.

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Emergency Relief (ER) is a Department of Social Services (DSS) funded program, delivered by 197 community organisations (ER Providers) across Australia, to assist people facing a financial crisis with financial/material aid and referrals to other support programs. ER has been playing this important role in Australian communities since 1979. Without ER, more people living in Australia who experience a financial crisis might face further harm such as crippling debt or homelessness. The Emergency Relief National Coordination Group (NCG) was established in April 2020 at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic to advise the Minister for Families and Social Services on the implementation of ER. To inform its advice to the Minister, the NCG partnered with the Institute for Governance at the University of Canberra to conduct research to understand the issues and challenges faced by ER Providers and Service Users in local contexts across Australia. The research involved a desktop review of the existing literature on ER service provision, a large survey which all Commonwealth ER Providers were invited to participate in (and 122 responses were received), interviews with a purposive sample of 18 ER Providers, and the development of a program logic and theory of change for the Commonwealth ER program to assess progress. The surveys and interviews focussed on ER Provider perceptions of the strengths, weaknesses, future challenges, and areas of improvement for current ER provision. The trend of increasing case complexity, the effectiveness of ER service delivery models in achieving outcomes for Service Users, and the significance of volunteering in the sector were investigated. Separately, an evaluation of the performance of the NCG was conducted and a summary of the evaluation is provided as an appendix to this report. Several themes emerged from the review of the existing literature such as service delivery shortcomings in dealing with case complexity, the effectiveness of case management, and repeat requests for service. Interviews with ER workers and Service Users found that an uplift in workforce capability was required to deal with increasing case complexity, leading to recommendations for more training and service standards. Several service evaluations found that ER delivered with case management led to high Service User satisfaction, played an integral role in transforming the lives of people with complex needs, and lowered repeat requests for service. A large longitudinal quantitative study revealed that more time spent with participants substantially decreased the number of repeat requests for service; and, given that repeat requests for service can be an indicator of entrenched poverty, not accessing further services is likely to suggest improvement. The interviews identified the main strengths of ER to be the rapid response and flexible use of funds to stabilise crisis situations and connect people to other supports through strong local networks. Service Users trusted the system because of these strengths, and ER was often an access point to holistic support. There were three main weaknesses identified. First, funding contracts were too short and did not cover the full costs of the program—in particular, case management for complex cases. Second, many Service Users were dependent on ER which was inconsistent with the definition and intent of the program. Third, there was inconsistency in the level of service received by Service Users in different geographic locations. These weaknesses can be improved upon with a joined-up approach featuring co-design and collaborative governance, leading to the successful commissioning of social services. The survey confirmed that volunteers were significant for ER, making up 92% of all workers and 51% of all hours worked in respondent ER programs. Of the 122 respondents, volunteers amounted to 554 full-time equivalents, a contribution valued at $39.4 million. In total there were 8,316 volunteers working in the 122 respondent ER programs. The sector can support and upskill these volunteers (and employees in addition) by developing scalable training solutions such as online training modules, updating ER service standards, and engaging in collaborative learning arrangements where large and small ER Providers share resources. More engagement with peak bodies such as Volunteering Australia might also assist the sector to improve the focus on volunteer engagement. Integrated services achieve better outcomes for complex ER cases—97% of survey respondents either agreed or strongly agreed this was the case. The research identified the dimensions of service integration most relevant to ER Providers to be case management, referrals, the breadth of services offered internally, co-location with interrelated service providers, an established network of support, workforce capability, and Service User engagement. Providers can individually focus on increasing the level of service integration for their ER program to improve their ability to deal with complex cases, which are clearly on the rise. At the system level, a more joined-up approach can also improve service integration across Australia. The key dimensions of this finding are discussed next in more detail. Case management is key for achieving Service User outcomes for complex cases—89% of survey respondents either agreed or strongly agreed this was the case. Interviewees most frequently said they would provide more case management if they could change their service model. Case management allows for more time spent with the Service User, follow up with referral partners, and a higher level of expertise in service delivery to support complex cases. Of course, it is a costly model and not currently funded for all Service Users through ER. Where case management is not available as part of ER, it might be available through a related service that is part of a network of support. Where possible, ER Providers should facilitate access to case management for Service Users who would benefit. At a system level, ER models with a greater component of case management could be implemented as test cases. Referral systems are also key for achieving Service User outcomes, which is reflected in the ER Program Logic presented on page 31. The survey and interview data show that referrals within an integrated service (internal) or in a service hub (co-located) are most effective. Where this is not possible, warm referrals within a trusted network of support are more effective than cold referrals leading to higher take-up and beneficial Service User outcomes. However, cold referrals are most common, pointing to a weakness in ER referral systems. This is because ER Providers do not operate or co-locate with interrelated services in many cases, nor do they have the case management capacity to provide warm referrals in many other cases. For mental illness support, which interviewees identified as one of the most difficult issues to deal with, ER Providers offer an integrated service only 23% of the time, warm referrals 34% of the time, and cold referrals 43% of the time. A focus on referral systems at the individual ER Provider level, and system level through a joined-up approach, might lead to better outcomes for Service Users. The program logic and theory of change for ER have been documented with input from the research findings and included in Section 4.3 on page 31. These show that ER helps people facing a financial crisis to meet their immediate needs, avoid further harm, and access a path to recovery. The research demonstrates that ER is fundamental to supporting vulnerable people in Australia and should therefore continue to be funded by government.
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